FREE NEWSLETTER: Econintersect sends a nightly newsletter highlighting news events of the day, and providing a summary of new articles posted on the website. Econintersect will not sell or pass your email address to others per our privacy policy. You can cancel this subscription at any time by selecting the unsubscribing link in the footer of each email.

posted on 29 January 2016

January 2016 Chicago Purchasing Managers Barometer Unexpectedly Jumps Into Expansion

The Chicago Business Barometer which recently has spent more time in contraction than expansion. jumped well into expansion territory. This survey came in well above expectations.

From Bloomberg, the market expected the index between 44.0 to 47.5 (consensus 45.5) versus the actual at 55.5. A number below 50 indicates contraction. Chief Economist of MNI Indicators Philip Uglow said,

While the surge in activity in January marks a positive start to the year, it follows significant weakness in the previous two months, with the latest rise not sufficient to offset the previous falls in output and orders. Previously, surges of such magnitude have not been maintained so we would expect to see some easing in February. Still, even if activity does moderate somewhat next month, the latest increase supports the view that GDP will bounce back in Q1 following the expected slowdown in Q4.

From ISM Chicago:

The Chicago Business Barometer bounced back sharply in January, increasing 12.7 points to 55.6 from 42.9 in December, the highest pace of growth in a year. The latest increase followed extreme weakness in the fourth quarter, with the Barometer averaging 47.7, the weakest quarterly growth since Q3 2009. The three month trend remained depressed at 48.7, up only slightly from 47.7 in December. Four out of the five components of the Barometer increased on the month, led by a 20.2 point surge in New Orders to 58.8, the highest since January 2015. Additionally, Production, the second largest component of the Barometer posted a double digit gain pushing it back well above the 50 neutral level.

The Chicago ISM is important as it is a window into the national ISM reports which will be issued shortly. When you compare the graph below of the ISM Manufacturing Index against the Chicago PMI (graph above) - there is a general correlation in trends, but not necessarily correlation in values.

source and read the full report: Chicago PMI

>>>>> Scroll down to view and make comments <<<<<<

Permanent link to most recent post on this topic

Click here for Historical Releases Listing

Make a Comment

Econintersect wants your comments, data and opinion on the articles posted.  As the internet is a "war zone" of trolls, hackers and spammers - Econintersect must balance its defences against ease of commenting.  We have joined with Livefyre to manage our comment streams.

To comment, using Livefyre just click the "Sign In" button at the top-left corner of the comment box below. You can create a commenting account using your favorite social network such as Twitter, Facebook, Google+, LinkedIn or Open ID - or open a Livefyre account using your email address.

You can also comment using Facebook directly using he comment block below.

Econintersect Economic Releases


Print this page or create a PDF file of this page
Print Friendly and PDF

The growing use of ad blocking software is creating a shortfall in covering our fixed expenses. Please consider a donation to Econintersect to allow continuing output of quality and balanced financial and economic news and analysis.

Take a look at what is going on inside of
Main Home
Analysis Blog
Comments on Feyerabend’s ‘Against Method’, Part III
Taking a Wrench to Healthcare
News Blog
Documentary Of The Week: Job Buffers Are More Efficient Than Unemployment Buffers
Typing Is The New Talking
Outsourcing Viewed As The Top Threat To U.S. Jobs
SOS, Extra Savings Needed For An Adequate Pension
Bob Dylan's Nobel Prize - And What Really Defines Literature
What We Read Today 25 October 2016
Baby Remarkably Survives Being Born With Heart Beating Outside Her Chest
October 2016 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Declines
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey Remains In Contraction In October 2016.
October 2016 Chemical Activity Barometer Continues to Signal Improving Economic Growth
Case-Shiller Home Price Index August 2016 Year-over-Year Rate of Growth Marginally Improves
Russia Falls Into Old Habits
Infographic Of The Day: Commodity Update, Is The Summer Slump Over
Investing Blog Technical Report 25 October 2016
How Apple's Product Launches Measure Up
Opinion Blog
What Triggers Collapse?
The Beer Goggles Stock Market
Precious Metals Blog
Inflation Surging As Platinum Signals Stock Market Decline
Live Markets
25Oct2016 Market Close: US Stock Market Indexes Closed Down Fractionally, Investors Remain Concerned With Friday's Fed Rate Change, Crude And US Dollar Down, Gold Up
Amazon Books & More

.... and keep up with economic news using our dynamic economic newspapers with the largest international coverage on the internet
Asia / Pacific
Middle East / Africa
USA Government

Crowdfunding ....



Analysis Blog
News Blog
Investing Blog
Opinion Blog
Precious Metals Blog
Markets Blog
Video of the Day


Asia / Pacific
Middle East / Africa
USA Government

RSS Feeds / Social Media

Combined Econintersect Feed

Free Newsletter

Marketplace - Books & More

Economic Forecast

Content Contribution



  Top Economics Site Contributor TalkMarkets Contributor Finance Blogs Free PageRank Checker Active Search Results Google+

This Web Page by Steven Hansen ---- Copyright 2010 - 2016 Econintersect LLC - all rights reserved