econintersect.com
       
  

FREE NEWSLETTER: Econintersect sends a nightly newsletter highlighting news events of the day, and providing a summary of new articles posted on the website. Econintersect will not sell or pass your email address to others per our privacy policy. You can cancel this subscription at any time by selecting the unsubscribing link in the footer of each email.



posted on 24 September 2015

Kansas City Fed: Manufacturing Contraction Continues in September 2015

Of the four regional manufacturing surveys released to date for September, all are in contraction.

There were no market expectations reported from Bloomberg - and the reported value was -8. Any value below zero is contraction.

z kansas_man.PNG

The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City released the August Manufacturing Survey today. According to Chad Wilkerson, vice president and economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, the survey revealed that Tenth District manufacturing activity continued to decline moderately, similar to the pace of the previous few months.The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City released the September Manufacturing Survey today. According to Chad Wilkerson, vice president and economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, the survey revealed that Tenth District manufacturing activity declined at a similar pace as in previous months, while expectations for future activity dropped considerably.

"Survey respondents continued to blame a strong dollar and weak energy activity for declining factory activity", said Wilkerson. "This month their future outlook also weakened after holding steady in recent months."

TENTH DISTRICT MANUFACTURING SUMMARY

Tenth District manufacturing activity declined at a similar pace as in previous months, while expectations for future activity dropped considerably. Producers continued to cite weak oil and gas activity along with a strong dollar as key reasons for the sluggish activity. Most price indexes fell from the previous survey.

The month-over-month composite index was -8 in September, largely unchanged from -9 in August and -7 in July (Tables 1 & 2, Chart). The composite index is an average of the production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials inventory indexes. Both durable and nondurable goods production continued to decline, although some nondurable production such as plastics, chemicals, and food improved somewhat. Durable goods production remained weak, particularly for metals and machinery products. Production indexes continued to fall in nearly all District states. The majority of other month-over-month indexes edged slightly higher but still remained negative. The production index jumped from -16 to 1, and the new orders, shipments and order backlog indexes also improved somewhat but stayed negative. The employment index inched up from -10 to -7, and the new orders for exports index also moved slightly higher. The raw materials inventory index fell from -12 to -20, while the finished goods inventory index increased modestly

Year-over-year factory indexes were mixed but generally weaker than last month. The composite year-over-year index fell from -9 to -13, and the new orders and employment indexes also declined further. The capital expenditures index dropped from 8 to -3, its lowest level since January 2013. The production and shipments indexes both improved modestly but remained in negative territory. The raw materials inventory index decreased from -5 to -10, and the finished goods inventory index also decreased.

Summary of all Federal Reserve Districts Manufacturing:

Richmond Fed (hyperlink to reports):

z richmond_man.PNG

Kansas Fed (hyperlink to reports):

z kansas_man.PNG

Dallas Fed (hyperlink to reports):

z dallas_man.PNG

Philly Fed (hyperlink to reports):

z philly fed1.PNG

New York Fed (hyperlink to reports):

z empire1.PNG

Federal Reserve Industrial Production - Actual Data (hyperlink to report):

Holding this and other survey's Econintersect follows accountable for their predictions, the following graph compares the hard data from Industrial Products manufacturing subindex (dark blue bar) and US Census manufacturing shipments (lighter blue bar) to the Kansas City Fed survey (light green bar).

Comparing Surveys to Hard Data:

z survey1.png

In the above graphic, hard data is the long bars, and surveys are the short bars. The arrows on the left side are the key to growth or contraction.

Steven Hansen



>>>>> Scroll down to view and make comments <<<<<<



Permanent link to most recent post on this topic

Click here for Historical Releases Listing










Make a Comment

Econintersect wants your comments, data and opinion on the articles posted.  As the internet is a "war zone" of trolls, hackers and spammers - Econintersect must balance its defences against ease of commenting.  We have joined with Livefyre to manage our comment streams.

To comment, using Livefyre just click the "Sign In" button at the top-left corner of the comment box below. You can create a commenting account using your favorite social network such as Twitter, Facebook, Google+, LinkedIn or Open ID - or open a Livefyre account using your email address.



You can also comment using Facebook directly using he comment block below.







Econintersect Economic Releases


search_box

Print this page or create a PDF file of this page
Print Friendly and PDF


The growing use of ad blocking software is creating a shortfall in covering our fixed expenses. Please consider a donation to Econintersect to allow continuing output of quality and balanced financial and economic news and analysis.


Take a look at what is going on inside of Econintersect.com
Main Home
Analysis Blog
Tax Reform: The Good, the Bad, and the Really Ugly, Part Three
A New Era of Central Banking?
News Blog
Rail Week Ending 18 February 2017: Improvement Continues
Infographic Of The Day: Cannabis Law: The Past, Present And Future
Early Headlines: Asia Stocks, Dollar And Oil All Slip. Gold Steady, US Oil Exports Surge, Trump Backs Priv. Prisons, WH Hints Pot Crackdown, London Home Prices Slow, Trump Policies Will Help China And More
When Evidence Says No, But Doctors Say Yes
Pacific Rim States Affected By Trump's War On Free Trade
Real Paleo Diet: Early Hominids Ate Just About Everything
Amazon's Global Workforce Is Growing Rapidly
What We Read Today 23 February 2017
February 2017 Kansas City Fed Manufacturing At Highest Level Since June 2011
Lost In The Sixties-The Winds Of Change
January 2017 CFNAI Super Index Moving Average Statistically Unchanged
18 February 2017 Initial Unemployment Claims Rolling Average Insignificantly Improves
Jihadism: An Eerily Familiar Threat
Investing Blog
Can You Spot Low Risk Entries?
Technical Thoughts: Trading, Luck Or Skill?
Opinion Blog
Fed Up: Culture Shock
Kenneth Arrow's Ignored Impossibility Theorem
Precious Metals Blog
Deflation And Gold: A Contrarian View
Live Markets
23Feb2017 Market Close: Wall Street Closes Mixed Near The Unchanged Line, Nasdaq Closed Down Fractionally, The DOW Closes Up 35 Points, Crude And The US Dollar Remain Mostly Unchanged
Amazon Books & More






.... and keep up with economic news using our dynamic economic newspapers with the largest international coverage on the internet
Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government





























 navigate econintersect.com

Blogs

Analysis Blog
News Blog
Investing Blog
Opinion Blog
Precious Metals Blog
Markets Blog
Video of the Day
Weather

Newspapers

Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government
     

RSS Feeds / Social Media

Combined Econintersect Feed
Google+
Facebook
Twitter
Digg

Free Newsletter

Marketplace - Books & More

Economic Forecast

Content Contribution

Contact

About

  Top Economics Site

Investing.com Contributor TalkMarkets Contributor Finance Blogs Free PageRank Checker Active Search Results Google+

This Web Page by Steven Hansen ---- Copyright 2010 - 2017 Econintersect LLC - all rights reserved