econintersect.com
       
  

FREE NEWSLETTER: Econintersect sends a nightly newsletter highlighting news events of the day, and providing a summary of new articles posted on the website. Econintersect will not sell or pass your email address to others per our privacy policy. You can cancel this subscription at any time by selecting the unsubscribing link in the footer of each email.



posted on 30 July 2015

25 July 2015 Initial Unemployment Claims Rolling Average Again Improves

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims

The market was expecting the weekly initial unemployment claims at 270,000 to 275,000 (consensus 272,000) vs the 267,000 reported. The more important (because of the volatility in the weekly reported claims and seasonality errors in adjusting the data) 4 week moving average moved from 278,500 (reported last week as 278,500) to 274,750. The rolling averages generally have been equal to or under 300,000 since August 2014.

It should be pointed out that Econintersect watches the year-over-year change on the 4 week moving average. There is always some seasonality which migrates into the seasonally adjusted data, and year-over-year comparisons helps remove some seasonality. The four week rolling average of initial claims are 8.5% lower (better than the 8.1% for last week) than they were in this same week in 2014.

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims - 4 Week Average - Seasonally Adjusted - 2011 (red line), 2012 (green line), 2013 (blue line), 2014 (orange line). 2015 (violet line)

Claim levels remain near 40 year lows (with the normal range around 350,000 weekly initial unemployment claims of levels seen historically during times of economic expansion - see chart below).

From the Department of Labor:

In the week ending July 25, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 267,000, an increase of 12,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 255,000. The 4-week moving average was 274,750, a decrease of 3,750 from the previous week's unrevised average of 278,500. There were no special factors impacting this week's initial claims.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.7 percent for the week ending July 18, an increase of 0.1 percentage point from the previous week's unrevised rate. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending July 18 was 2,262,000, an increase of 46,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up 9,000 from 2,207,000 to 2,216,000. The 4-week moving average was 2,255,250, a decrease of 750 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 2,250 from 2,253,750 to 2,256,000.

Steven Hansen



>>>>> Scroll down to view and make comments <<<<<<



Permanent link to most recent post on this topic

Click here for Historical Releases Listing










Make a Comment

Econintersect wants your comments, data and opinion on the articles posted.  As the internet is a "war zone" of trolls, hackers and spammers - Econintersect must balance its defences against ease of commenting.  We have joined with Livefyre to manage our comment streams.

To comment, using Livefyre just click the "Sign In" button at the top-left corner of the comment box below. You can create a commenting account using your favorite social network such as Twitter, Facebook, Google+, LinkedIn or Open ID - or open a Livefyre account using your email address.



You can also comment using Facebook directly using he comment block below.







Econintersect Economic Releases


search_box

Print this page or create a PDF file of this page
Print Friendly and PDF


The growing use of ad blocking software is creating a shortfall in covering our fixed expenses. Please consider a donation to Econintersect to allow continuing output of quality and balanced financial and economic news and analysis.


Take a look at what is going on inside of Econintersect.com
Main Home
Analysis Blog
The Surprising Pevalence of Surprises in Export Specialisation
The Destruction of the Existing Workforce
News Blog
Early Headlines: Asia Stocks Mixed, Dollar Down, Oil Up, China May Replace US In TPP, Trump Freezes Feds' Hiring, Trump Files 'Secret' Transfer Papers, May To Visit China And More
January 23, 2017 Weather and Climate Report - NOAA Continues ENSO Neutral Denial
Documentary Of The Week: China's Wealth, Collapse, And Environmental Nightmare
Where Trump Stands On Twitter
Is This Really The Final Word On Whether Calorie-restricted Diets Make You Live Longer?
Electric Mobility Has A Long Way To Go
Average Gasoline Prices for Week Ending 23 January 2017 Fell Over 3 cents
What We Read Today 23 January 2017
Badass Grandpa Tokyo Drift!
Hurricane Matthew Clocks Top Wind Speed For 2016 At 101 MPH
Consumer Debt Growth May Have Stalled In Q3
Measuring Americans' Expectations Following The 2016 Election
Infographic Of The Day: Seven Negotiation Techniques
Investing Blog
Netflix And Co. Surpass DVD And Blu-ray Sales
The Future Of Online Sales
Opinion Blog
Bill Maher 2017 Season Premier
Trumping World Trade
Precious Metals Blog
A Slow Start For The Week Would Be Constructive For Gold
Live Markets
23Jan2017 Market Close: Wall Street Down, But Pares Morning Losses By The Closing Bell, Crude Rises Back To Normalcy And The US Dollar Nears Slipping Below 100
Amazon Books & More






.... and keep up with economic news using our dynamic economic newspapers with the largest international coverage on the internet
Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government































 navigate econintersect.com

Blogs

Analysis Blog
News Blog
Investing Blog
Opinion Blog
Precious Metals Blog
Markets Blog
Video of the Day
Weather

Newspapers

Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government
     

RSS Feeds / Social Media

Combined Econintersect Feed
Google+
Facebook
Twitter
Digg

Free Newsletter

Marketplace - Books & More

Economic Forecast

Content Contribution

Contact

About

  Top Economics Site

Investing.com Contributor TalkMarkets Contributor Finance Blogs Free PageRank Checker Active Search Results Google+

This Web Page by Steven Hansen ---- Copyright 2010 - 2017 Econintersect LLC - all rights reserved