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posted on 07 July 2015

May 2015 CoreLogic Home Prices Year-over-Year Growth Rate Now 6.3%. Home Price Growth Continues.

Econintersect: CoreLogic's Home Price Index (HPI) shows that home prices in the USA are up 6.3% year-over-year year-over-year (reported up 1.7% month-over-month). There is considerable backward revision in this index which makes monthly reporting problematic. CoreLogic HPI is used in the Federal Reserves's Flow of Funds to calculate the values of residential real estate.

This is the 39th consecutive month of year-over-year increase. Dr. Frank Nothaft, chief economist at CoreLogic stated:

Mortgage rates on 30-year fixed-rate loans remained below 4 percent through May, helping to fuel home-purchase activity. Our homes-for-sale listing data shows that markets with high demand and limited supply, such as San Francisco, are recording double-digit appreciation rates over the past year.

z corelogic2.PNG

Anand Nallathambi, president and CEO of CoreLogic stated:

The rate of home price appreciation ticked up in May with gains being fairly widely distributed across the country. Importantly, higher home prices over the past couple of years have spurred increases in new single-family construction. Sales of newly built homes during the first five months of 2015 were up 23 percent from a year ago, and as rising values build equity for homeowners, we expect to see more existing homes offered for sale in the coming year.

z corelogic3.PNG

Comparison of Home Price Indices - Case-Shiller 3 Month Average (blue line, left axis), CoreLogic (green line, left axis) and National Association of Realtors (red line, right axis)

z existing3.PNG

The way to understand the dynamics of home prices is to watch the direction of the rate of change - and not necessarily whether the prices are getting better or worse. Home prices are improving - and the rate of growth is now marginally improving after almost a year of declining growth rate.

Year-over-Year Price Change Home Price Indices - Case-Shiller 3 Month Average (blue bar), CoreLogic (yellow bar) and National Association of Realtors (red bar)

z existing5.PNG

Caveats Relating to Home Price Indices

There is no such thing as an "accurate" home price index. CoreLogic HPI is a repeat sales type index which should not be skewed by changes in the mix of home sales. For more information, please read: http://www.philadelphiafed.org/research-and-data/publications/research-rap/2014/house-price-indexes.pdf

Steven Hansen

Source: CoreLogic



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