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posted on 12 June 2015

05 June 2015: ECRI's WLI Remains In Positive Territory But Again Marginally Declines

ECRI's WLI Growth Index which had spent 28 weeks in negative territory - is now in its sixth week in positive territory but again marginally declined this week. ECRI also released its lagging indicator this week and is reported below.

Current ECRI WLI Level and Growth Index:

Here is this weeks update on ECRI's Weekly Leading Index (note - a positive number indicates growth):

U.S. Weekly Leading Index Increased

The U.S. Weekly Leading Index increased to 134.2 from 133.1. The growth rate ticked down to 0.9% from 1.0%.

To put the state of the economy in perspective click here to read A Two-Speed Economy.

For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, please see the chart below:

ECRI produces a monthly issued Coincident index. The April update (reported in May) shows the rate of economic growth is now slowing.

U.S. Coincident Index:

z ecri_coin.png

ECRI produces a monthly inflation index - a positive number shows increasing inflation pressure.

U.S. Future Inflation Gauge:

z ecri_infl.PNG

ECRI Inflation Gauge Gains

U.S. inflationary pressures were up slightly in May, as the U.S. future inflation gauge grew to 101.3 from a revised April 101.0 reading, first reported as 101.1, according to data released Friday morning by the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

"With the USFIG creeping up, underlying inflation pressures continue to firm," ECRI Chief Operations Officer Lakshman Achuthan said in a release.

ECRI produces a monthly Lagging index. The April's economy's rate of growth (released in May) is essentially unchanged.

U.S. Lagging Index:

z ecri_lag.PNG

source: ECRI

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