econintersect.com
       
  

FREE NEWSLETTER: Econintersect sends a nightly newsletter highlighting news events of the day, and providing a summary of new articles posted on the website. Econintersect will not sell or pass your email address to others per our privacy policy. You can cancel this subscription at any time by selecting the unsubscribing link in the footer of each email.



posted on 24 March 2015

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey Shows Contraction in March 2015

Of the three regional Federal Reserve surveys released to date, two show manufacturing expanding weakly and now the Richmond survey shows contraction. The market expected this survey index at -4 to +5 (consensus 2.0) versus the -8 actual [note that values above zero represent expansion].

Manufacturing activity declined in March, according to the most recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Shipments and the volume of new orders dropped. Order backlogs fell and capacity utilization declined. Hiring in the manufacturing sector was soft and the average workweek shortened. Wage growth remained modest.

Looking ahead six months, producers anticipated more favorable business conditions. Producers expected strength in shipments and new orders, and a jump in capacity utilization. Expectations were for a growing backlog of orders and a slight rise in vendor lead-times. Further, producers anticipated robust growth in hiring and wages, along with a modestly longer workweek.

Prices of raw materials and finished goods rose only slightly in March. Manufacturers anticipated mildly faster price growth over the next six months, compared with the current pace.

Current Activity

Manufacturing activity decelerated this month after flattening in February. The composite index fell to −8 in March from a reading of 0 a month earlier. The shipments index collapsed to −13, as did the index for the volume of new orders, compared to month-ago readings of −1 and −2, respectively. Capacity utilization also fell, with that index shrinking three points to −7.

The gauge for vendor lead-times dropped to −9 from 2. Finally, backlogs of new orders lost two points, settling at −12 in March.

As shipments declined, finished goods inventories rose, pulling the index to 25 from 20. Raw materials inventories also grew, with that indicator gaining nine points to end the survey period at 25.

Read entire source document from Richmond Fed

Summary of all Federal Reserve Districts Manufacturing:

Richmond Fed (hyperlink to reports):

z richmond_man.PNG

Kansas Fed (hyperlink to reports):

z kansas_man.PNG

Dallas Fed (hyperlink to reports):

z dallas_man.PNG

Philly Fed (hyperlink to reports):

z philly fed1.PNG

New York Fed (hyperlink to reports):

z empire1.PNG

Federal Reserve Industrial Production - Actual Data (hyperlink to report):

Holding this and other survey's Econintersect follows accountable for their predictions, the following graph compares the hard data from Industrial Products manufacturing subindex (dark blue bar) and US Census manufacturing shipments (lighter blue bar) to the Dallas Fed survey (light blue bar).

Comparing Surveys to Hard Data:

z survey1.png

In the above graphic, hard data is the long bars, and surveys are the short bars. The arrows on the left side are the key to growth or contraction.



>>>>> Scroll down to view and make comments <<<<<<



Permanent link to most recent post on this topic

Click here for Historical Releases Listing










Make a Comment

Econintersect wants your comments, data and opinion on the articles posted. You can also comment using Facebook directly using he comment block below.






Econintersect Economic Releases


search_box

Print this page or create a PDF file of this page
Print Friendly and PDF


The growing use of ad blocking software is creating a shortfall in covering our fixed expenses. Please consider a donation to Econintersect to allow continuing output of quality and balanced financial and economic news and analysis.


Take a look at what is going on inside of Econintersect.com
Main Home
Analysis Blog
Empty Rhetoric: On the Work of Deirdre McCloskey
Men Without Work
News Blog
Third Estimate 4Q2016 GDP Revised Upward. Corporate Profits Up.
25 March 2017 Initial Unemployment Claims Rolling Average Again Worsens
Adjusting To An Imperfect Reality
Employers Wise To Tap Into Older Workers Waiting On Retirement
Infographic Of The Day: How Seven Types Of Global Megacities Stack Up
Early Headlines: Asia Stocks Down, Dollar Up, Gold, Oil Steady, Senate Takes Russia Probe, Income - Tale Of 2 Countries, London Off. Values Face Big Drop, Russia Cuts Oil, Border Wall In Mexico?, And More
Documentary Of The Week: America Before Columbus
American Doctors: The Prognosis Isn't Good
Brexit: 'Leave' Voters Showing Most Signs Of Doubt
Crumbling Comet? The Great Debate About Whether Rosetta Rock 67P Is Breaking Apart
ISIS: Income Has More Than Halved Since 2014
What We Read Today 29 March 2017
The Best Hilarious Prank Ideas For April Fools' Day
Investing Blog
Where In The World To Invest? A Search Of The Globe
Boom Or Bust: Tech IPOs Can Go Either Way
Opinion Blog
Scarborough Shoal: Will America Help The Philippines?
Why Did Preet Bharara Refuse To Drain The Wall Street Swamp?
Precious Metals Blog
Following The Yellow Brick Road
Live Markets
30Mar2017 Pre-Market Commentary: Wall Street To Open Again Flat And May End Session In The Red, The US Dollar And Crude Prices Climbing Higher
Amazon Books & More






.... and keep up with economic news using our dynamic economic newspapers with the largest international coverage on the internet
Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government































 navigate econintersect.com

Blogs

Analysis Blog
News Blog
Investing Blog
Opinion Blog
Precious Metals Blog
Markets Blog
Video of the Day
Weather

Newspapers

Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government
     

RSS Feeds / Social Media

Combined Econintersect Feed
Google+
Facebook
Twitter
Digg

Free Newsletter

Marketplace - Books & More

Economic Forecast

Content Contribution

Contact

About

  Top Economics Site

Investing.com Contributor TalkMarkets Contributor Finance Blogs Free PageRank Checker Active Search Results Google+

This Web Page by Steven Hansen ---- Copyright 2010 - 2017 Econintersect LLC - all rights reserved