econintersect.com
       
  

FREE NEWSLETTER: Econintersect sends a nightly newsletter highlighting news events of the day, and providing a summary of new articles posted on the website. Econintersect will not sell or pass your email address to others per our privacy policy. You can cancel this subscription at any time by selecting the unsubscribing link in the footer of each email.



posted on 27 January 2015

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Growth Rate Marginally Weakened in January 2015

Of the four regional Federal Reserve surveys released to date, all show manufacturing expanding (although one barely expanding). A complete summary follows. The market expected this survey index at 4 to 8 (consensus 5.5) versus the 6 actual [note that values above zero represent expansion].

Fifth District manufacturing activity expanded at a modest pace in January, according to the most recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Shipments increased at a faster pace this month, while the volume of new orders remained steady.

Manufacturing employment and average wages grew at a slower pace this month. However, the average workweek grew more quickly. Manufacturers were optimistic about future business conditions. Firms expected faster growth in shipments and new orders in the six months ahead. Additionally, survey participants expected order backlogs to increase and anticipated faster growth in capacity utilization. Expectations were for little change in vendor lead times.

Producers expected faster growth in hiring in the months ahead. They also expected solid growth in average wages and a pickup in the average workweek. Prices of raw materials and finished goods rose at a slower pace compared to last month. Survey participants expected faster growth in prices paid and prices received over the next six months.

Current Activity

Overall, manufacturing activity increased at a modest pace. The January composite index for manufacturing moved down one point to a reading of 6. The index for shipments advanced five points to end at a reading of 10. The index for new orders grew at the same pace as a month ago, finishing at a reading of 4. Manufacturing employment grew at a slower pace this month, pulling the index down eight points to finish at 5.

Capacity utilization increased in January. The index gained 14 points from December's reading to finish at an index of 9. Vendor lead times lengthened compared to a month ago, moving the index up three points to a reading of 5. Backlogs dropped this month. The indicator lost four points to settle at -9. Finished goods inventories rose more quickly compared to a month ago. That index added three points to end at 25. Additionally, raw materials inventories growth remained solid this month. That gauge moved to 19 from 20.

Read entire source document from Richmond Fed

Summary of all Federal Reserve Districts Manufacturing:

Richmond Fed:

z richmond_man.PNG

Kansas Fed:

z kansas_man.PNG

Dallas Fed:

z dallas_man.PNG

Philly Fed:

z philly fed1.PNG

New York Fed:

z empire1.PNG

Federal Reserve Industrial Production:

Holding this and other survey's Econintersect follows accountable for their predictions, the following graph compares the hard data from Industrial Products manufacturing subindex (dark blue bar) and US Census manufacturing shipments (lighter blue bar) to the Richmond Fed Survey (dark green bar).

Comparing Surveys to Hard Data

/images/z survey1.png

In the above graphic, hard data is the long bars, and surveys are the short bars. The arrows on the left side are the key to growth or contraction.



>>>>> Scroll down to view and make comments <<<<<<



Permanent link to most recent post on this topic

Click here for Historical Releases Listing










Make a Comment

Econintersect wants your comments, data and opinion on the articles posted.  As the internet is a "war zone" of trolls, hackers and spammers - Econintersect must balance its defences against ease of commenting.  We have joined with Livefyre to manage our comment streams.

To comment, using Livefyre just click the "Sign In" button at the top-left corner of the comment box below. You can create a commenting account using your favorite social network such as Twitter, Facebook, Google+, LinkedIn or Open ID - or open a Livefyre account using your email address.



You can also comment using Facebook directly using he comment block below.







Econintersect Economic Releases


search_box

Print this page or create a PDF file of this page
Print Friendly and PDF


The growing use of ad blocking software is creating a shortfall in covering our fixed expenses. Please consider a donation to Econintersect to allow continuing output of quality and balanced financial and economic news and analysis.


Take a look at what is going on inside of Econintersect.com
Main Home
Analysis Blog
Minsky’s Theory of Asset Prices: Why Minsky Was NOT a Neo-Monetarist
Finance and Growth: The Direction of Causality
News Blog
Majority Of Job Seekers Uncertain About Trump Impact
How To "Buy Low And Sell High" Like A Pro
Infographic Of The Day: Unusual Pets
Early Headlines: Asia Stocks Mixed, Oil Up, Dollar Down, China GDP On Target, GOP Govs Defend Medicaid Expans., Trump Wants To Cut Fed. Spending By $ 1 Trn, Trump's Troubling Foreign Deals And More
The Fake News That Sealed The Fate Of Antony And Cleopatra
The Jobs With The Biggest Cash Bonuses
Astronomers Spot Strange, Bow-like Structure In Venus' Atmosphere
Raising A Child Is An Extremely Expensive Undertaking
The World's Staggering Wealth Divide
What We Read Today 19 January 2017
OK Go - The One Moment - Official Video
January 2017 Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey Significantly Improves and Remains In Expansion.
December 2016 Residential Building Sector Mixed
Investing Blog
How To Invest In Oil For Long-term Investors
Investing.com Technical Summary 19 January 2017
Opinion Blog
What Is The Natural Interest Rate - And What If We Go Above It?
A New Deal With Capitalism Requires A Revolution In Politics And Markets
Precious Metals Blog
Four Catalysts Drive Gold And Silver For 2017
Live Markets
19Jan2017 Market Close: Wall Street Closes Down Fractionally On Lackluster Investor Participation Ahead Of Tomorrow's Presidential Inauguration, George Soros Said That Global Markets Will Falter
Amazon Books & More






.... and keep up with economic news using our dynamic economic newspapers with the largest international coverage on the internet
Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government





























 navigate econintersect.com

Blogs

Analysis Blog
News Blog
Investing Blog
Opinion Blog
Precious Metals Blog
Markets Blog
Video of the Day
Weather

Newspapers

Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government
     

RSS Feeds / Social Media

Combined Econintersect Feed
Google+
Facebook
Twitter
Digg

Free Newsletter

Marketplace - Books & More

Economic Forecast

Content Contribution

Contact

About

  Top Economics Site

Investing.com Contributor TalkMarkets Contributor Finance Blogs Free PageRank Checker Active Search Results Google+

This Web Page by Steven Hansen ---- Copyright 2010 - 2017 Econintersect LLC - all rights reserved