econintersect.com
       
  

FREE NEWSLETTER: Econintersect sends a nightly newsletter highlighting news events of the day, and providing a summary of new articles posted on the website. Econintersect will not sell or pass your email address to others per our privacy policy. You can cancel this subscription at any time by selecting the unsubscribing link in the footer of each email.



posted on 22 January 2015

Rail Week Ending 17 January 2015: Second Week of Year Shows Rail Traffic Slightly Declined

Econintersect: Week 2 of 2015 shows same week total rail traffic (from same week one year ago) slightly declined according to the Association of American Railroads (AAR) traffic data. This was a good start to the new year.

This analysis is looking for clues in the rail data to show the direction of economic activity - and is not necessarily looking for clues of profitability of the railroads. The weekly data is fairly noisy, and the best way to view it is to look at the rolling averages which generally are in a general growth cycle.

  Percent current rolling average  is larger than the rolling average of one year ago Current quantities accelerating or decelerating Current rolling average accelerating or decelerating compared to the rolling average one year ago
4 week rolling average 11.1% decelerating (normal for this period) accelerating
13 week rolling average 6.0% decelerating (normal for this period) accelerating
52 week rolling average 5.1% accelerating accelerating

A summary of the data from the AAR:

The Association of American Railroads (AAR) today reported U.S. rail traffic for the week ending Jan. 17, 2015. Total cumulative U.S. weekly rail traffic for the week was 551,856 carloads and intermodal units, a slight decline of 1 percent compared with the same week last year. Total carloads for the week ending Jan. 17, 2015 were 290,963 up 0.3 percent compared with the same week in 2014 while U.S. weekly intermodal volume was 260,893 containers and trailers, down 2.4 percent compared to week two of 2014. 

Five of the 10 carload commodity groups posted increases compared with the same week in 2014, led by Grain with 25,062 carloads, up 18.2 percent; and Chemicals with 30,947 carloads, up 4.6 percent. Commodity groups that posted decreases compared with the same week in 2014, Nonmetallic Minerals at 31,124 carloads, down 4.4 percent; and Metallic Ores and Metals with 24,656 carloads, down 3.3 percent.

For the first two weeks of 2015, U.S. railroads reported cumulative volume of 567,536 carloads, up 3.7 percent from the same point last year, and 501,840 intermodal units, down 0.3 percent from last year. Total combined U.S. traffic for the first two weeks of 2015 was 1,069,376 carloads and intermodal units, up 1.8 percent from last year.

Coal is over 1/3 of the total railcar count, and this week is 1.1% lower than the production estimate in the comparable week in 2014.  The middle row in the table below removes coal and grain from the changes in the railcar counts as neither of these commodities is economically intuitive.

This Week Carloads Intermodal Total
This week Year-over-Year 0.3% -2.4% -1.0%
Ignoring coal and grain -1.9%    
Year Cumulative to Date 3.7% -0.3% 1.8%

[click on graph below to enlarge]

Current Rail Chart:

z rail1.png

From EIA.gov:

For the week ended January 17, 2015:

  • Estimated U.S. coal production totaled approximately 19.4 million short tons (mmst)
  • This production estimate is 2.5% higher than last week's estimate and 1.1% lower than the production estimate in the comparable week in 2014
  • East of the Mississippi River coal production totaled 8.1 mmst
  • West of the Mississippi River coal production totaled 11.3 mmst
  • U.S. year-to-date coal production totaled 45.8 mmst, 1.8% higher than the comparable year-to-date coal production in 2014

Steven Hansen



>>>>> Scroll down to view and make comments <<<<<<

Click here for Historical Releases Listing










Make a Comment

Econintersect wants your comments, data and opinion on the articles posted.  As the internet is a "war zone" of trolls, hackers and spammers - Econintersect must balance its defences against ease of commenting.  We have joined with Livefyre to manage our comment streams.

To comment, using Livefyre just click the "Sign In" button at the top-left corner of the comment box below. You can create a commenting account using your favorite social network such as Twitter, Facebook, Google+, LinkedIn or Open ID - or open a Livefyre account using your email address.



You can also comment using Facebook directly using he comment block below.







Econintersect Economic Releases


search_box

Print this page or create a PDF file of this page
Print Friendly and PDF


The growing use of ad blocking software is creating a shortfall in covering our fixed expenses. Please consider a donation to Econintersect to allow continuing output of quality and balanced financial and economic news and analysis.


Take a look at what is going on inside of Econintersect.com
Main Home
Analysis Blog
Many (But Not All) Dynamics Improving But Federal Tax Receipts Are Down
The Economic Future of The Berkshires - A Reconsideration
News Blog
Early Headlines: Asia Stocks Mostly Down, Oil And Gold Up, Dollar Down, Obama On 60 Minutes, Brexit Is Getting Harder, Boeing's Big India Order, Shanghai Breaks Support And More
Most Read Articles Last Week Ending 14 January
Technical Update 15 January 2017
U.S. Bombs Dropped On Foreign Soil
Jubilant Ruble And Declining Peso After Trump Election
Americans Think Fake News Has An Impact
With Legal Pot Comes A Problem: How Do We Weed Out Impaired Drivers?
American Cities With The Highest Murder Rates
What We Read Today 15 January 2017
What Is The BEST BATTERY You Can Buy
How Does Business Dynamism Link To Productivity Growth?
Following The Overseas Money
Conforming Loan Limit To Rise For First Time In Many Years
Investing Blog
Danger Lurks As Extremes Become The Norm
The Week Ahead: Can 4Q Earnings Match Economic Growth?
Opinion Blog
Nature Of Debt Differs Between China, Japan And The U.S.
What If US Importers And Exporters Are Largely The Same?
Precious Metals Blog
Gold's 2016 Gain Indicates A 19% Surge In 2017
Live Markets
13Jan2017 Market Close: Wall Street Closes In The Green, DOW Off 5 Points, Crude And The US Dollar Slip, Market Correction Rumors Running High
Amazon Books & More






.... and keep up with economic news using our dynamic economic newspapers with the largest international coverage on the internet
Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government





























 navigate econintersect.com

Blogs

Analysis Blog
News Blog
Investing Blog
Opinion Blog
Precious Metals Blog
Markets Blog
Video of the Day
Weather

Newspapers

Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government
     

RSS Feeds / Social Media

Combined Econintersect Feed
Google+
Facebook
Twitter
Digg

Free Newsletter

Marketplace - Books & More

Economic Forecast

Content Contribution

Contact

About

  Top Economics Site

Investing.com Contributor TalkMarkets Contributor Finance Blogs Free PageRank Checker Active Search Results Google+

This Web Page by Steven Hansen ---- Copyright 2010 - 2017 Econintersect LLC - all rights reserved