econintersect.com
       
  

FREE NEWSLETTER: Econintersect sends a nightly newsletter highlighting news events of the day, and providing a summary of new articles posted on the website. Econintersect will not sell or pass your email address to others per our privacy policy. You can cancel this subscription at any time by selecting the unsubscribing link in the footer of each email.



posted on 27 November 2017

Why Kim Won't Give Up His Nukes

from Statista.com

-- this post authored by Dyfed Loesche

During U.S. President Donald Trump's East Asia trip he also stopped over in South Korea.


Please share this article - Go to very top of page, right hand side, for social media buttons.


Trump's messages towards the North Korean regime under the leadership of dictator Kim Jong-un are pretty mixed, ranging from the recently more diplomatic offering of a better future to having Kim and his country bombed to bits.

Hardened realists among scholars of international relations have a pretty simple explanation for why Kim isn't inclined to stop his nuclear program. In short: It wouldn't serve his best self-interest. History holds some lessons for what could happen to him once he went nuke-free. There are two cases repeatedly brought up in this discussion: Saddam Hussein of Iraq and Muammar Gaddafi of Libya.

Both these men had at some point started developing nuclear arsenals, both had given up their programs under international pressure, were eventually removed from power by means of US-led or US-supported military action and were eventually killed.

In the case of Saddam Hussein, Iraq had been declared nuke free by inspectors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) as early as 1994. Later allegations, he was still sitting on a stockpile of undeclared nukes and other weapons of mass destruction - which was the stated reason for the invasion of Iraq in 2003 - never verified. After the US-led invasion, Saddam was found hiding in a hole in December 2003, was sentenced to death by an Iraqi special tribunal and hanged at the end of 2006.

The strongman ruler of Libya, Muammar Gaddafi, voluntarily renounced his nuclear weapons program in 2003, which was then dismantled by American and British experts with IAEA oversight in 2004. A popular uprising during the Arab Spring in 2011 turned in to an all-out armed rebellion against his rule. Eventually, NATO sent out war planes to enforce a no-fly zone and bomb government positions. In October 2011, a convoy of cars in which Gaddafi sat was bombed. He was captured by rebels and shot dead.

So, the basic theory assumes that if they had stuck to their nuclear programs they might have survived. Then again, there are pretty many ifs in this equation: Neither do we really know what Kim Jong-un's rational behind his provocative behavior is. We can't really know if Saddam and Gaddafi would have survived longer than they did if they had stuck with nuclear weapons in their arsenals. But it might just be part of an explanation as to why consecutive North Korean leaders cling to their nukes.

This chart is the first in a new series called "Out of Bounds" which sets out to produce thought provoking, slightly edgy, content on a weekly basis.

Infographic: Why Kim Won't Give Up His Nukes | Statista You will find more statistics at Statista.

>>>>> Scroll down to view and make comments <<<<<<

Click here for Historical Opinion Post Listing










Make a Comment

Econintersect wants your comments, data and opinion on the articles posted. You can also comment using Facebook directly using he comment block below.




Econintersect Opinion








search_box
Print this page or create a PDF file of this page
Print Friendly and PDF


The growing use of ad blocking software is creating a shortfall in covering our fixed expenses. Please consider a donation to Econintersect to allow continuing output of quality and balanced financial and economic news and analysis.







Keep up with economic news using our dynamic economic newspapers with the largest international coverage on the internet
Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government





























 navigate econintersect.com

Blogs

Analysis Blog
News Blog
Investing Blog
Opinion Blog
Precious Metals Blog
Markets Blog
Video of the Day
Weather

Newspapers

Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government
     

RSS Feeds / Social Media

Combined Econintersect Feed
Google+
Facebook
Twitter
Digg

Free Newsletter

Marketplace - Books & More

Economic Forecast

Content Contribution

Contact

About

  Top Economics Site

Investing.com Contributor TalkMarkets Contributor Finance Blogs Free PageRank Checker Active Search Results Google+

This Web Page by Steven Hansen ---- Copyright 2010 - 2017 Econintersect LLC - all rights reserved