posted on 17 April 2017
from William K. Black, New Economic Perspectives
William Cohan’s April 14, 2017 column in the New York Times discusses Daniel Tarullo’s swan song talk on bank regulation. Tarullo is pictured below.
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Here are the key passages from that column for the first half of my discussion.
Cohan was writing about a different subject, one I discuss briefly in the second half of this article, so he did not discuss the insanity described in these four paragraphs. Here is the short version of that insanity.
1.) The Clinton and Bush administrations, collectively, destroyed effective financial regulation. Tarullo’s sad euphemism is “the U.S. regulatory system had not worked particularly well before the crisis".
2.) As you can tell from that sad euphemism, in a supposedly honest swan song, Tarullo is not the kind of enforcer who inspires real “fear" or “hatred" from an industry. The “Wizard of Oz" is an apt moniker “for the power he wielded behind the scenes" - for the Wizard of Oz was a pathetic huckster. Here is a quick test of the fantasy that Tarullo was tough. The Fed “removed and prohibited" what CEO of a prominent Wall Street bank under Tarullo? The answer is no one. The Fed never even attempted to remove a single one of the Wall Street CEOs that led the most destructive epidemics of financial fraud in history.
3.) As weak as Tarullo was, he was in fact far tougher than his predecessor who was responsible for regulating Wall Street’s commercial banks, which “understandably, had been the purview of the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York". That president was the most abject financial regulatory failure in my Nation’s history - which is a powerful insult given how many U.S. presidents deliberately appointed scoundrels because the president knew that they would fail to even try to be effective regulators.
Who was that NY Fed “president" who was the worst-of-the-worst regulators that was so culpable in devastating our Nation? That scoundrel must have had his reputation destroyed and been recognized as unfit to serve even as a dogcatcher in a one-dog town. That would be the result if we did not live in the modern era of American crony capitalism. In that real world, our presidents promote our worst scoundrels precisely because the scoundrels deliberately refused to honor their oath of office and regulate Wall Street. In our real (depraved) world the new President Obama promoted the disgraced Timothy Geithner from his position as the president of the NY Fed to the top financial position in the world - Secretary of the Treasury.
Everyone in finance knew that Geithner had been a catastrophic failure as regulator. Everyone in finance knew that Geithner failed as a regulator because he never tried to regulate effectively. Indeed, he infamously testified before Congress: “I have never been a regulator." That was true, but you are not supposed to admit it openly and you are not supposed to be promoted to Treasury Secretary because you admit it. President Obama appointed Tarullo contemporaneously with his appointment of Geithner. Tarullo had no experience or expertise in regulation and Obama obviously did not choose him to serve as a “feared and hated" regulator.
4.) The idea that Wall Street “feared and hated" Tarullo is hilarious. I can tell you from personal experience what happens when a financial regulator is “hated and feared" by sleazy CEOs because you are putting them in prison and “removing and prohibiting" them from working in finance. First, there are recurrent efforts to fire you. Second, they hire private detectives to investigate you. Third, they sue you for hundreds of millions of dollars. Fourth, they spend hundreds of thousands of dollars in political contributions to the most powerful members of Congress to induce them to investigate and attack you relentlessly. Sleazy CEOs did each of these things to me and to several of my colleagues. Sleazy Wall Street CEOs did none of these things to Tarullo because he never even tried to imprison or “remove and prohibit" them.
Cohan tellingly writes that the NY Fed president “understandably" was the top regulator of the Wall Street banks prior to 2009. It is understandable in one, sick sense. It is “understandable" that politicians who benefit so greatly from Wall Street contributions and the revolving door placed the primary regulator of Wall Street banks in the institution (the NY Fed) with the most perverse incentives that would ensure pervasively pathetic regulation of Wall Street banks decade after decade. It is not, however, “understandable" that anyone seeking to create a system of effective regulation of Wall Street banks would choose the president of the NY Fed to lead the regulation of Wall Street banks.
Cohan’s primary purpose in his column is to present Tarullo’s admissions about what went wrong with Dodd-Frank.
Here is what Tarullo actually admitted about Dodd-Frank’s fatal flaw. President Obama and Congress did not frame it as a coherent response to the perverse incentives that cause our recurrent, intensifying financial crises. Wall Street CEOs rigged our structures to institutionalize perverse incentives. Refusing to change those structures after a catastrophe was, of course, significantly insane. President Obama and Congress failed to engage in a rigorous, honest investigation of those structural causes and then refused to fix the structural defects.
The structures that institutionalize perverse incentives have in common the creation of conflicts of interest. CEOs do this primarily by creating perverse compensation systems, but they also do it through combining investment and commercial banking. Systemically dangerous institutions (SDIs) (“too big to fail") create another conflict of interest. Politicians dependent on their contributions and pathetic regulators treat them as untouchable. Astonishingly, Obama and Congress refused to fix any of these three primary conflicts of interest that drive our recurrent crises.
The closest Dodd-Frank came to a structural change to address one of these fundamental, destructive conflicts of interest was the Volcker rule. This makes Tarullo’s repudiation of that rule, and his stated basis for that repudiation so revealing. Tarullo fears that “as drafted, it ‘is too complicated’." Who “drafted" the overly complicated rule - and at who sought to make it so complex? The answer to the first part of the question is largely Tarullo and the answer to the second part is the five largest Wall Street banks’ lawyers. Tarullo’s reason for opposing the Volcker rule is pathetic. Still, the first-best solution is the return of Glass-Steagall rather than the roughly fifth-best solution that is the Volcker rule. It is altogether fitting that Tarullo leaves with a whimper about a problem of “complexity" that he largely allowed Wall Street to create.
Here is the terrible news. Tarullo is not remotely evil. Compared to other senior financial regulators he is in the peak of the distribution along with Janet Yellen. President Trump’s regulatory appointees will be far worse and by repealing the best parts of Dodd-Frank they will make the next financial crisis far worse.
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