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09Nov2016 Pre-Market Commentary: Wall Street Recovering From Surprise Presidential Win From Trump, US Dollar Back To Where It Was Yesterday, Crude Prices Fractionally Down

Written by Gary

U.S. stock index futures were sharply lower early this morning but well off overnight lows (SPY -1.6%), as a market that had been anticipating an election victory by Democrat Hillary Clinton scrambled to adjust to an upset win by Republican Donald Trump.


Here is the current market situation from CNN Money

European markets are lower today with shares in France off the most. The CAC 40 is down 0.99% while Germany's DAX is off 0.88% and London's FTSE 100 is lower by 0.06%.

What Is Moving the Markets

Here are the headlines moving the markets.

Stock futures curb losses from overnight selloff after election

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures were sharply lower early on Wednesday but well off overnight lows, as a market that had been anticipating an election victory by Democrat Hillary Clinton scrambled to adjust to an upset win by Republican Donald Trump.

Trump win casts doubt on Fed's plans to hike interest rates

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential race throws into question the core assumption in global financial markets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates soon and follow with further gradual hikes over coming years.

Viacom posts lower-than-expected revenue as ad sales fall

(Reuters) - Viacom Inc , the owner of MTV, Comedy Central and Nickelodeon, reported lower-than-expected quarterly revenue on Wednesday, weighed down by lower domestic advertising sales and the absence of hit movie releases at its Paramount film studio.

Dollar, global stocks, Mexican peso fight back as Trump shock fades

LONDON (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar, Mexican peso and world stocks fell on Wednesday as Donald Trump swept to victory in the U.S. presidential election, but fears of a Brexit-style shock that wiped trillions off global markets has failed to materialize so far.

AT&T, Time Warner shares fall amid concern Trump will block deal

(Reuters) - Shares of telecommunications giant AT&T Inc and media company Time Warner Inc fell in premarket trading on Wednesday amid fears that U.S. President-elect Donald Trump will hold good on his vow to block their proposed $85 billion merger.

Automakers, dependent on Mexico, face a rougher road with Trump

(Reuters) - The election of Donald Trump as U.S. president puts new pressure on automakers and other manufacturers that have become dependent on open trade with Mexico, and raises the risk they will face higher costs.

Oil reverses most losses after Trump win to trade near $46

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil reversed most of its early losses of almost 4 percent to trade near $46 a barrel on Wednesday, as the market recovered from an initial Brexit-like reaction to Donald Trump's surprise victory in the U.S. presidential election.

Ireland says Trump plans should not hurt it as multinational hub

DUBLIN (Reuters) - U.S. president-elect Donald Trump's plans to slash corporate tax rates should not keep companies from setting up operations abroad, a move that would damage a key plank of Ireland's industrial policy, the Irish finance minister said on Wednesday.

Dollar recovers earlier losses after Trump wins U.S. election

LONDON (Reuters) - The dollar recovered most of the 2 percent it had earlier lost on Donald Trump's shock victory in the U.S. election on Wednesday, with investors not clear on whether a Trump presidency would be unambiguously bad for the currency.

What A Trump Victory Really Means For The Market

Just like with Brexit, the so-called Wall Street experts scrambled to paint a picture of doom and gloom, warning traders, and markets, that the end of the world is imminent should Trump win, and that stocks could drop by 5%, 10% or more should Donald Trump get elected president. And again, just like in the case of Brexit, they convinced the algos and the momentum chasing traders. Briefly. Because after futures hit the 5% down limit shortly after the market realized it was dead wrong about the presidential election, they have since soared nearly 80 points of the overnight lows and are well above the Friday, pre-Comey close, level.

How come?

Simple: as we have repeatedly said, a Trump victory, coupled with lower taxes, a spike in infrastructure spending, and a surge in debt is precisely what the economy - and a normalized market, one not manipulated daily by central banks - wanted and needed, as it not only will prompt yields to rise, but it will assure even more QE in the near future as foreign buyers of US debt disappear (assuming Trump does not do away with the Fed entirely, which for a man running a real estate empire, he won't do as he ultimately needs lower rates).

As Trump said overnight, in a far less combative speech than pundits had expected, "We're going to rebuild our infrastructure...we're going to put millions of people to work as we rebuild." A tax-cutting and big-budget extravaganza means Treasuries will have a hard time staying higher, it also means a steepener yield curve, just the thing banks need and explains the jump in bank stocks this morning.

It also means much more fiscal stimulus, as various pundits discovered overnight.

"Fiscal stimulus seems to be the ...

Trump and Gold

Submitted by Ronan Manly, BullionStar.com

It was an event-filled and turbulent evening last night as the results for the 45th US presidential election rolled in, signalling that the majority of the American electorate had voted for Republican candidate Donald Trump. Trump received over 270 of the 538 electoral college votes needed to secure a majority. Trump will now be inaugurated as US President on Friday January 20, 2017.

Media and Polls eat Humble Pie

This, the 58th US presidential election, will no doubt go down in history as one of the most unusual, divisive and wrongly predicted US presidential elections of all time. The official surveys of the expected outcome were proven to be way off the mark, and in fact the entire US polling industry may have to reassess its methodologies and enter a period of self-reflection. The mainstream media machine, particularly but not exclusively in the US, was also shown up throughout this election campaign to be glaringly slanted and in favor of the Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton at the expense of Trump, and a large amount of shock, b ...

Putin Congratulates Trump, Says Russia Is Ready To Restore Relations With The US

Perhaps the most beneficial outcome resulting from last night's loss of the Clinton Clan's loss, whose "charitable" donations to the Clinton Foundation from generous donors such as Saudi Arabia just ended, is that with Hillary not in charge, the probability of World War III has been taken off the table. This was confirmed early this morning, When Russian President Vladimir Putin - whose relations with the US and Barack Obama have deteriorated to Cold War levels - congratulated Donald Trump for his election victory on Wednesday, and said he expected relations between the Kremlin and Washington to improve.

The Kremlin announced that Putin had sent a telegram to Trump on Wednesday morning expressing "his hope they can work together toward the end of the crisis in Russian-American relations, as well address the pressing issues of the international agenda and the search for effective responses to global security challenges."

Additionally, speaking at the presentation ceremony of foreign ambassadors' letters of credentials in Moscow, President Putin said that Russia is ready and looks forward to restoring bilateral relations with the United States, Russian President Vladimir Putin said, commenting on the news of Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election.

"We heard Trump's campaign rhetoric while still a candidate for the US presidency, which was focused on restoring the relations between Russia and the United States."

He added that "we understand and are aware that it will be a difficult path in the light of the degradation in which, unfortunately, the relationship between Russia and the US are at the moment."

Speaking about the degraded state of relations between the countries, the Russian president once again stressed that "it ...

Frontrunning: November 9



IT'S TRUMP! STUNNING OUTSIDER VICTORY FOR 45TH PRESIDENT (AP)

Trump Surges to Stunning Victory (WSJ)

Trump takes the White House in stunning upset (Reuters)

Trump Pledges to Rebuild America (WSJ)

'Deplorables' Rise Up to Reshape America (WSJ)

Trump, as Outsider, Broke Every Rule on Road to Victory (WSJ)

Markets Pare Losses After Plunging on Trump Win (BBG)

Trump's Win Goes Down Hard in Mexico (WSJ)

'Go to hell!' A divided America struggles to heal after ugly election (Reuters)

Under $5 each, Trump's votes came cheap (Reuters)

Capital Punishment Restored in Nebraska, Expanded in Oklahoma (WSJ)

Voters Approve Recreational Marijuana in Four States (

Trump's Victory: Politics Takes Center Stage in Global Markets

Move over central bankers. Donald Trump's victory puts the focus back on politicians.

Trump and China: America's Most Important Economic Relationship Just Got Very Complicated

A Trump presidency will change the world for companies and investors. The U.S.-China relationship will be at the center of that change.

Trump and the Yen: Making Things Uncomfortable for Japan

A stronger yen could yet again scramble Japan's efforts at fighting deflation.

Market Snapshot: Dow futures sink nearly 300 points, as Trump stuns with presidential election win

U.S. stocks veer toward sharp losses Wednesday, with Republican nominee Donald Trump pulling off a major upset by winning the U.S. presidential race.

Futures Movers: Oil prices fight for direction as Trump scores presidential election win

Oil futures tilt higher in volatile early trade Wednesday morning, as investors struggle to interpret the impact for crude prices of a surprise victory by Republican Donald Trump in his bid for the White House.

Currencies: Dollar, Mexican peso drop as Trump secures U.S. presidency

The U.S. dollar and the Mexican peso fell Wednesday, as Donald Trump upended market expectations won the U.S. presidential race.

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