US markets are up (SPY + 0.7%), Crude and gold prices are up and the US dollar is down, with the Nasdaq hitting a record intraday high, as investors cheered the Federal Reserve's decision to not raise interest rates. Short-term indicators are bullish.
Here is the current market situation from CNN Money
North and South American markets are broadly higher today with shares in Mexico leading the region. The IPC is up 1.37% while Brazil's Bovespa is up 0.83% and U.S.'s S&P 500 is up 0.70%.
$NYA200R chart below is the percentage of stocks above the 200 DMA and is always a good statistic to follow. It can depict a trend of declining equities which is always troubling, especially when it drops below 60% - 55%. Following a major market correction, the conditions for safe re-entry are when:
a) Daily $OEXA200R rises above 65%
Secondary Bullish Indicators:
a) RSI is POSITIVE (above 50)
b) Slow STO is POSITIVE (black line above red line)
c) MACD is POSITIVE (black line above red line)
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week to a two-month low, pointing to labor market strength that could pave the way for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by December.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged on Wednesday but strongly signaled it could still tighten monetary policy by the end of this year as the labor market improved further.
(Reuters) - Yahoo Inc this week will disclose a data breach that compromised the details of several hundred million users, technology news site Recode reported on Thursday, citing unnamed sources familiar with the company's plan.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Tesla Motors Inc Thursday sued Michigan Governor Rick Snyder and other state officials in federal court over the state's refusal to allow the Palo Alto, California automaker to sell vehicles directly to consumers.
GENEVA (Reuters) - The World Trade Organization said on Thursday the European Union had failed to rein in billions of dollars in subsidies to planemaker Airbus , prompting Washington to call for an immediate halt to support to unwind damage to U.S. jobs.
LONDON (Reuters) - Volkswagen should reduce the "huge sums of money" paid to executives and any bonuses should be given in shares, activist investor TCI Fund Management said in a letter to the car company seen by Reuters.
FRANKFURT (Reuters) - Financial services are shifting away from banks in the euro zone to the so-called 'shadow banking' sector, requiring fresh rules across a range of areas to mitigate risk, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said on Thursday.
Donald Trump and Ted Cruz, after a brutal Republican primary season with a whole lot of name calling and allegations, may have finally found some common ground. According to The Hill, Trump is now siding with Cruz and other House Republicans in speaking out about the Obama administration's plan to relinquish the Department of Commerce's oversight of the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN).
"Donald J. Trump is committed to preserving internet freedom for the American people and citizens all over the world," Trump campaign senior policy director Stephen Miller said in a statement.
"The Republicans in Congress are admirably leading a fight to save the internet this week, and need all the help the American people can give them to be successful," he added. "Congress needs to act, or internet freedom will be lost for good, since there will be no way to make it great again once it is lost."
For those not familiar with the particulars, Conservative lawmakers in Congress are leading an effort to block the Obama administration's "internet transition" plans by inserting language into a funding measure that would result in another government shutdown if not passed by September 30th.
ICANN stands for the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers. ICANN is a California nonprofit that has supervised website domains since 1998, essentially under subcontract from the Commerce Department. Under the Obama transition plan, in October, oversight by the U.S. Commerce Department would end and be replaced by a multi-stakeholder community, which would include the technical community, businesses, civil society and governm ...
While the recent congressional hearing targeting John Stumpf, in which Elizabeth Warren suggested he should resign and be criminally charged, was nothing more than a "kangaroo court" meant to refocus public anger on banks, with good reason, the reason why we concluded that nothing would actually change is that ultimately there was no evidence the bank's executive management was aware of the bank's illegal, fraudulent tactics involving the creation of some 2 million fake customer accounts to "sandbag" retail banking fees. That assumption, however, may need revision now that CNN reports that it has heard from former Wells Fargo workers - some of whom were named - around the country, who tried to put a stop to the bank's illegal tactics only to be met with harsh, prompt and severe retaliation by the bank.
"Almost half a dozen workers who spoke with us say they paid dearly for trying to do the right thing: they were fired", CNN says, which if confirmed would promptly make this a criminal case, which implicate virtually every senior management member, as such retaliatory practices would suggest not only awareness of what was happening at the bank, but also an even more dramatic response by management seeking to keep these practices under wraps.
Some of the named witnesses made it very clear that the narrative spun by Stumpf in Senate was a lie:
"I endured harsh bullying ... defamation of character, and eventually being pinned for something I didn't do," said Heather Brock, who was fired earlier this month as a senior business banker at a Wells Fargo branch in Round Rock, Texas.
"They ruined my life," Bill Bado, a former Wells Fargo banker in ...
Submitted by David Stockman via Contra Corner blog,
We are speaking, of course, of the Fed's decision to punt yet again, and for a reason that is not mysterious at all. To wit, our financial rulers are petrified of a stock market hissy fit, and will go to any length of dissimulation and double-talk to avoid triggering a crash of the very bubbles their policies have inflated.
So now the money market rate will be pinned to the zero bound for 96 months running—-through at least December. Indeed, hell itself could freeze over before these cowardly fools would raise rates at their next meeting a week before the elections—-and most especially not when the Donald is remonstrating loudly and correctly that the whole thing is rigged.
Not that any more evidence was needed, but today's decision surely proves that our financial rulers have wandered so deep into their monetary puzzle palace that they have now lost touch with every vestige of the real world. That's because there is not a shred of evidence that more free money for the Wall Street gamblers will do anything except further inflate financial asset values that are already tottering in the nosebleed section of history.
So the entirety of what they are doing is simply paving the way for an even bigger crash. Yet to hear Janet Yellen tell it, they decided to keep their Big Fat Thumb on money market rates because "there is still slack coming out of the labor market" and because the Fed is still "undershooting our inflation goals".
But so what!
There is not a single thing the Fed can do about either of these macro ...
Deutsche Bank is going to need some money, and it's going to need some quite soon. The next two or three articles that I write will focus on why there is such a need. In a concerted effort to reduce or potentially eliminated the risk of taxpayer-funded bail-outs of European banks, the EU implemented a new "bail-in" regime beginning on January 1, 2016. As such, rules which require banks and certain systemically significant market participants in EU member states will have to write-down, cancel, convert into equity or otherwise modify certain unsecured liabilities if such steps are required to recapitalize the institution. What is the most bountiful unsecured liabilities of a bank?
More than 50% of the total derivative contracts are going to be matured within 1 year and more than 80% within 5 years. So, in the current sluggish economic environment it is quite possible that Deutsche Bank will experience some losses in their derivative exposure as most of their counterparties having higher degree of exposure are in Europe and The USA. And this will impact the financial conditions of their counterparties also.
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