The SP 500 and the Dow hit record new historic highs today, while the Nasdaq turned positive for the first time this year, buoyed by rising prospects of global economic health and with Alcoa getting the U.S. earnings season off to a promising start. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said the central bank may need only a single rate hike for years to come.
Here is the current market situation from CNN Money
North and South American markets are broadly higher today with shares in Brazil leading the region. The Bovespa is up 1.05% while U.S.'s S&P 500 is up 0.78% and Mexico's IPC is up 0.60%.
$NYA200R chart below is the percentage of stocks above the 200 DMA and is always a good statistic to follow. It can depict a trend of declining equities which is always troubling, especially when it drops below 60% - 55%. Following a major market correction, the conditions for safe re-entry are when:
a) Daily $OEXA200R rises above 65%
Secondary Bullish Indicators:
a) RSI is POSITIVE (above 50)
b) Slow STO is POSITIVE (black line above red line)
c) MACD is POSITIVE (black line above red line)
(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and the Dow hit record intraday highs on Tuesday, while the Nasdaq turned positive for the first time this year, buoyed by rising prospects of global economic health and with Alcoa getting the U.S. earnings season off to a promising start.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Britain's referendum on leaving the European Union has caused uncertainty and increased risks to the U.S. economy, but thus far it looks likely to have a pretty "negligible" impact on U.S. growth, the International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday.
(Reuters) - Tesla Motors Inc Chief Executive Elon Musk said the electric car maker has no plans to disable its Autopilot feature in the wake of a fatal accident in which the driver of a Model S car was using the technology, the Wall Street Journal reported.
ISTANBUL (Reuters) - U.S. businesses, Britain's biggest foreign investors, largely factored in the vote to leave the European Union and now want to see exit talks progress slowly, a top executive at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce said.
ST. LOUIS (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve should be in no rush to raise U.S. interest rates despite a surge in June hiring, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said on Tuesday, sticking with his view that the central bank may need only a single rate hike for years to come.
BRUSSELS (Reuters) - The European Ombudsman called on Tuesday for the EU to tighten rules on commissioners taking appointments on leaving office after former chief executive Jose Manuel Barroso moved to a senior job at Goldman Sachs.
TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan's government is expected to cut its consumer inflation forecast for the current fiscal year and produce an estimate for fiscal 2017 that is much lower than the central bank's 2 percent target, government sources told Reuters on Tuesday.
NEW YORK (Reuters) - A former director at Barclays Plc pleaded guilty on Tuesday to U.S. charges that he engaged in insider trading by tipping off a plumber friend to impending mergers that he learned about at the bank.
LONDON/BENGALURU (Reuters) - Optimism about stock market performance this year has wilted, with investors fretting about the global economy and unexpected shocks likely to condemn most key indices to a weaker performance than thought just a few months ago.
It has been years since we have seen as dreadful a 10 Year auction as the just concluded sale of $20 billion in 10 Year paper.
With a high yield of 1.516%, the 10Y auction tailed a whopping 1.2bps to the When Issued, the biggest tail going back years.
Things got even worse when looking at the crashing Bid to Cover, which plunged from 2.70 just a month ago to a paltry 2.33, was the lowest since March of 2009.
The internals were likewise a disaster: the Indirect Bidders, after constantly soaking up 10Y paper over for the past 2 years, simply fled, taking down just 54.3% of the final allottment, down from 73.6% last month. And with Directs likewise barely budging, and holding 7.9% of the final proceeds, it meant Primary Dealers had to step up big time and purchase a whopping 37.7%, after taking down a modest 21.9% on average in the past 6 month: the highest Dealer award since January 2015.
In short: we called it dreadful, Stone McCarthy used "atrocious", and indeed this auction marked a stunning reversal in demand for 10 Y paper. In fact, if demand for paper continues to evaporate at this rate, the US Treasury may have another problem on its hands: getting the Fed to start monetizing paper as soon as possible, i.e., QE4.
The S&P 500 is less than 50 points away from 2,200. That number is notable: in addition to that being Goldman's year end price target - for 2017 that is - it also the combination of two important digits: 17 and 130, which are what JPM thinks are the PE and EPS bogeys that the market is currently aiming for. It is also why JPM's trading desk commentary now expects that the S&P500 will hit 2,200 in short notice.
From JPM's Intraday update:
Market update - more of the same for this market. The 17x/$130 argument continues to resonate (that combination of numbers points to 2200). It's still very, very early in the CQ2 season but the indications so are more positive than negative (AA, Daimler, PEP, Samsung, SIMO, STX, WDC, etc) and that is helping investors look past the earnings recession and is bolstering confidence in a ~$130 number for next year. In terms of macro news, there wasn't a lot out in the last 12-18 hours. On Fri stocks rallied b/c of low bond yields and this week they are extending those gains despite bond weakness (i.e. yields are higher). For the first time in a while there is genuine evidence of a rotation trade underway w/money moving out of safe-haven areas and into cyclical ones. Investors are hesitant to embrace this trend wholeheartedly given all the recent head fakes and ahead of a busy month of central bank meetings. However, while the BOE (7/14) and BOJ (7/29) are expected to ease, policy expectations in aggregate are prob. too dovish (the ECB and FOMC are likely pretty happy w/the post-Brexit market reaction and don't have any incentive to hint at further easing right now) and thus the risk for rates is for them to move higher in the coming weeks (which should help further a further safety vs. cyclic ...
U.S. stocks on Tuesday carve out fresh intraday all-time highs and still trade above their record closing highs, as a rise in oil prices and stronger-than-expected earnings from Alcoa Inc. bolstered sentiment.
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