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29Jun2016 Market Close: DOW Closes Up 285 Points, Bulls Take Charge After Shocking Brexit, Indicators Are Bullish For Now

Written by Gary

Wall Street closes higher as global stocks and oil prices gain as Brexit nerves settle somewhat. Contracts to buy previously owned U.S. homes fell more than expected in May, crude erases Brexit losses, amid massive U.S. inventory draw closing in the mid 49's. SP 500 did not close above 2100 and needs too if this rally is to continue.

Todays S&P 500 Chart

The Market in Perspective

Here are the headlines moving the markets.

North American leaders vow to boost trade despite threats

OTTAWA (Reuters) - Canada, the United States and Mexico on Wednesday vowed to deepen their economic ties, pushing back against anti-free-trade sentiment that has shifted political debate in the United States and Europe.

Wall Street jumps for second day on post-Brexit bounce

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street recorded big gains for a second day on Wednesday as investors continued to scour for bargains and digest the fallout from Britain's stunning vote to leave the European Union.

EU tells UK single market access requires full free movement

LONDON/BRUSSELS (Reuters) - European Union leaders met for the first time without Britain on Wednesday less than a week after it voted to leave, delivering a tough message that London can access the bloc's lucrative single market only if it agrees to allow free movement for EU workers.

GE's finance unit sheds its 'too big to fail' designation

(Reuters) - General Electric Co.'s slimmed down financing arm shed its "too big to fail" designation on Wednesday, no longer deemed by the U.S. government "systemically important" and so liable to wreck the economy in the event it runs into distress.

Crystal Pepsi: the 'clear' 90s hit makes a return

(Reuters) - PepsiCo is going retro. The company is officially bringing back Crystal Pepsi, a clear cola drink that was hugely popular for a brief period during the early 1990s.

U.S. judge dismisses SIFMA case over market data fees

NEW YORK (Reuters) - A U.S. judge dismissed a long-simmering legal battle over the cost of market data that is used by brokerages and high-speed trading firms, in a victory for the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq.

EU commissioner urges Volkswagen to compensate drivers for diesel scandal

BRUSSELS/BERLIN (Reuters) - Europe's Industry Commissioner Elzbieta Bienkowska has called on Volkswagen to also compensate European drivers after the company agreed to pay out up to $15.3 billion in the United States to settle claims over the diesel emissions scandal.

Monsanto in talks with Bayer, others about 'strategic options'

CHICAGO (Reuters) - Monsanto Co is in talks with Bayer AG and other companies regarding "alternative strategic options," a month after it rejected the German company's $62-billion takeover offer, the U.S. seed producer said on Wednesday.

With Amazon in mind, Wal-Mart to offer free shipping for 30 days

(Reuters) - Wal-Mart Stores Inc on Wednesday launched a free 30-day trial of ShippingPass, its two-day shipping program for shoppers in the United States, as the world's largest retailer looks to take on Amazon.com Inc's Prime subscription service.

From Brexit Wounds To Buying Panic (In Bonds & Stocks)

Record low bond yields, Brexit uncertainty, and the biggest crash in home sales in 6 years... BTFD you idiot!!

But "we're halfway there..."

Since the Brexit vote, UK's FTSE 100 is now positive and by far the world's best performing major stock market since Thursday's close...

China outperformed UK but of the 90-plus major equity indices in Bloomberg's screen, all the Bottom 10 are European...

Volume has been non-existent during the bounce...

US equities have retraced almost two-thirds of their losses (near Fib61.8% retrace in Dow and S&P...notice that both are now perfectly back to the Brexit bounce highs from Monday

For Those Who Still Care About Fundamentals, A Troubling Chart

We realize that fundamental analysis, especially in light of recent events, is dead and buried, but for those few who still keep track, here is a troubling chart showing how fast the S&P's cash flow is sinking relative to its debt load. As Bank of America helpfully points out, the USA is now trading at 13x EV/EBITDA, a 90th percentile since 1995.

And for those equity analysts who have not encountered such arcane concepts as cash flow and EBITDA, here is a table from Goldman showing that the median stock is currently trading in the 99th percentile of historical valuations.

The good news, as we noted up top, is that when it comes to momentum ignition higher (thanks to HFTs) and multiple expansion (thanks to central banks) none of this actually matters.

Is This Where All Those Companies "Leaving England" Will Go

Several years ago, Hollande tried - and failed - to make French socialism that much better by instituting a 75% tax on millionaires. It didn't last long.

Now in the aftermath of Brexit, the French leader is pushing to make Paris into the capital that will benefit the most as companies may (or may not) seek to depart from London as part of the UK's separation from the UK. To do this Les Echos is reporting that the French leader is proposing new tax cuts for the middle class worth up to 2 billion, as well as adapting rules "to make Paris a more attractive financial center."


FRANCE'S HOLLANDE SAYS WE MUST ADAPT OUR RULES, INCLUDING ON TAXES, TO MAKE PARIS A MORE ATTRACTIVE FINANCIAL CENTRE - LES ECHOS

FRANCE'S HOLLANDE SAYS CONSIDERING NEW TAX CUTS FOR MIDDLE CLASSES WORTH A MAXIMUM OF 2 BLN EUROS

FRANCE'S HOLLANDE WILL USE CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT TO PUSH THROUGH CONTESTED LABOUR LAW IF NEEDED

It is unclear how the French proposal will pass EU regulations which have found the French fiscal situation to already be in dire straits.

Furthermore, as companies evaluate whether to depart the UK for France, they may want to consider scenes such as the following showing relentless local protests, now stretching for months, against the much maligned anti-labor reform.

Tear gas, multiple arrests at anti-labor reform rally in Paris https://t.co/vAtXuQj1EZ pic.twitter.com/ZBpPWLWvFT

— RT (@RT_com) June 29, 2016

Finally, the entire premise whther anyone will leave the UK may have to be reevaluated. Earlier, both Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley

Who's Risky Now? A Brexit Boost for Emerging Markets

Political risk only gets paid lip-service in developed markets. Emerging markets have an advantage here.

Volkswagen: From Dieselgate to Brexit

Investors desperate for financial clarity now have to factor in the impact of Britain's vote on the European car market

Micron's Recovery? It's in the Cards

Micron is poised for a comeback, but that won't happen in a flash.

The Ratings Game: Nike stock suffers multiple target cuts but analysts remain bullish

Nike's fourth-quarter earnings had some hits and some misses, but analysts are optimistic that the company will see growth in the long term.

The Fed: Most banks get Fed clearance to lift dividends and stock buybacks

The Federal Reserve gave the go-ahead to most banks to lift dividends and increase stock buybacks, a sign of the growing recognition the regulator has given for the capital raised by the financial sector.

Market Snapshot: Stocks book 2-day gain as surge in oil, bank stocks trump Brexit fear

U.S. stocks close higher Wednesday, rallying for a second day as a surge in crude-oil prices and a retrenchment in Brexit fears pared sharp losses stemming from the U.K.'s surprise vote to leave the European Union.

Summary of Economic Releases this Week

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Earnings Summary for Today

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To contact me with questions, comments or constructive criticism is always encouraged and appreciated:

gary@econintersect.com

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