econintersect.com
       
  

FREE NEWSLETTER: Econintersect sends a nightly newsletter highlighting news events of the day, and providing a summary of new articles posted on the website. Econintersect will not sell or pass your email address to others per our privacy policy. You can cancel this subscription at any time by selecting the unsubscribing link in the footer of each email.



posted on 09 January 2017

Market And Sector Analysis 09 January 2017

Written by , Clarity Financial

Data Analysis Of The Market & Sectors For Traders

S&P 500 Tear Sheet

Thank you for your recent suggestions, while not all requests are possible to fulfill due to data limitations, I do appreciate the input.

Update: Request to color code extremes in measures is in progress.

If you have any suggestions or additions you would like to see, send me an email.


Sector Analysis

Comments

Almost, but no cigar. On Friday, the Dow Jones touched the magical 20,000 mark as prices rose this past week. As opposed to the last couple of weeks, this past week saw the S&P Index finish the week higher by 1.7% or 38.15 points.

The video below shows the historical “rotation" of sectors over the last 3-years. As you will notice sectors have consistently “swarmed" in a clockwise rotation going from strongly outperforming the S&P 500 index to strongly underperforming. If you watch to the end of the video you will see the post-presidential election anomaly form.

I have notated on the Sector Rotation model below, the early stages of the reversion process of that extreme with Treasury’s and Financial’s beginning to trade momentum.

While Financials have continued to outperform the S&P overall, they remain extremely overbought. I have recommended taking profits and such recommendation remains this week. Small and Mid-cap stocks, Energy, Materials, and Industrials outperformed the index as well.

The problem, as stated above, is that a stronger dollar and higher interest rates will likely hamper this optimism sooner rather than later. This is particularly the case with Small and Mid-Cap companies that are the most susceptible to monetary tightening.

As shown below, Discretionary, Technology, Industrials, Materials, Energy, Staples & Financials have stagnated while Utilities and Health Care have picked up performance.

(Note: I have changed the sector and major market analysis charts to a 50/200 DMA crossover signal and embedded an overbought/sold indicator.)

The table below shows thoughts on specific actions related to the current market environment. (These are not recommendations or solicitations to take any action. This is for informational purposes only related to market extremes and contrarian positioning within portfolios. Use at your own risk and peril.)

Three weeks ago, as suggested, we hedged our long-equity positions with deeply out-of-favor sectors of the market (Bonds, REIT’s, Staples, Utilities) which have continued to perform well in reducing overall portfolio volatility risk.

As I have been warning over the last couple of months, the stronger dollar and the rise in rates should not be dismissed.

Everything is currently pointing to this being a very late stage advance, so profit taking, hedging, and rebalancing is strongly advised.

>>>>> Scroll down to view and make comments <<<<<<

Click here for Historical Investing Post Listing










Make a Comment

Econintersect wants your comments, data and opinion on the articles posted.  As the internet is a "war zone" of trolls, hackers and spammers - Econintersect must balance its defences against ease of commenting.  We have joined with Livefyre to manage our comment streams.

To comment, using Livefyre just click the "Sign In" button at the top-left corner of the comment box below. You can create a commenting account using your favorite social network such as Twitter, Facebook, Google+, LinkedIn or Open ID - or open a Livefyre account using your email address.



You can also comment using Facebook directly using he comment block below.





Econintersect Investing


search_box

Print this page or create a PDF file of this page
Print Friendly and PDF


The growing use of ad blocking software is creating a shortfall in covering our fixed expenses. Please consider a donation to Econintersect to allow continuing output of quality and balanced financial and economic news and analysis.


Take a look at what is going on inside of Econintersect.com
Main Home
Analysis Blog
Minsky’s Theory of Asset Prices: Why Minsky Was NOT a Neo-Monetarist
Many (But Not All) Dynamics Improving But Federal Tax Receipts Are Down
News Blog
15 Recent Science Discoveries You Wont Believe
December 2016 Industrial Production Up - Now In Expansion
December 2016 CPI: Year-over-Year Inflation Rate Now 2.1%
Advent Of Trade Reporting For U.S. Treasury Securities
Infographic Of The Day: Why Pets Make Us Happy
Early Headlines: Asia Stocks Mixed, Oil Up, Dollar Down, Obama Issued Fewer Exec. Orders, German Inflation 1.7 Pct, Pound Rally Temporary?, China Prop. Investment Stabilized And More
Democracy - 'End of History', Really?
Preview Of Dirk Ehnts' New Book
Britons Are Very Pessimistic About The EU's Future
Sherlock Holmes And The Strange Case Of Anti-intellectualism
Average Gasoline Prices for Week Ending 16 January 2017 Fell Almost 3 cents
What We Read Today 17 January 2017
Massive Alligator Shocks Tourists As He Nonchalantly Strolls By On Walking Path
Investing Blog
Investing.com Technical Summary 17 January 2017
Apple Takes The Wireless Headphone Market By Storm
Opinion Blog
Trump's 'Great Gambit'
More Proof The MMT's "Jobs Guarantee" Can't Work
Precious Metals Blog
Gold's 2016 Gain Indicates A 19% Surge In 2017
Live Markets
18Jan2017 Pre-Market Commentary: Wall Street Opening To Be Higher, But For How Long As The Trump Rally Runs Out Of Steam, Crude Prices Fall To The 51 Handle And The US Dollar Recovers Fractionally
Amazon Books & More






.... and keep up with economic news using our dynamic economic newspapers with the largest international coverage on the internet
Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government





























 navigate econintersect.com

Blogs

Analysis Blog
News Blog
Investing Blog
Opinion Blog
Precious Metals Blog
Markets Blog
Video of the Day
Weather

Newspapers

Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government
     

RSS Feeds / Social Media

Combined Econintersect Feed
Google+
Facebook
Twitter
Digg

Free Newsletter

Marketplace - Books & More

Economic Forecast

Content Contribution

Contact

About

  Top Economics Site

Investing.com Contributor TalkMarkets Contributor Finance Blogs Free PageRank Checker Active Search Results Google+

This Web Page by Steven Hansen ---- Copyright 2010 - 2017 Econintersect LLC - all rights reserved