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posted on 20 January 2017

Majority Of Job Seekers Uncertain About Trump Impact

from Challenger Gray and Christmas

While Donald Trump may have won the White House partly on his promise to revitalize struggling industries, a recent survey of job seekers found that the majority are uncertain of his ability to deliver on that pledge. 53 percent of respondents said they were not sure if the incoming president will benefit job seekers.

The survey was conducted last month among callers to a two-day free job-search advice hotline organized by Challenger to help job seekers during the holidays.

While more than half of the callers were unsure of how a Trump administration would aid their efforts, nearly 30 percent were positive that the new president will benefit job seekers. About 18 percent felt that the new administration will be of no benefit.

Do you think President-Elect Trump will benefit job seekers?

2016

Yes

29%

No

18%

Not sure

53%

Said John A. Challenger, chief executive officer of Challenger, Gray & Christmas.

Whether the issue is jobs, health care, taxes or business regulations, there remain many uncertainties when it comes to the incoming administration. President-elect Trump has provided many clues in the form of tweets and spur-of-the-moment remarks to the media. However, it remains entirely unclear as to which of these talking points will actually become policy.

Certainly, job seekers might have gained some confidence in a Trump administration after he stepped in and pressured Carrier and Ford to keep jobs here in America. However, the reality is that once Trump becomes president, he cannot simply go from company to company saving jobs. Most job seekers understand this and remain unsure about how the presidency will ultimately impact their lives.

Many of the callers, while uncertain, remained hopeful that Trump, the businessman would know what to keep and/or bring back jobs. Others were less concerned about the president’s impact on jobs, with one caller commenting, “It’s up to me. I create my own destiny."

COMMENTS FROM CALLERS ON TRUMP JOB IMPACT

Undecided - It's up to me. I create my own destiny.

Not sure - Trump is a businessman. Hopeful that he will keep jobs in US

Don't know - Hoping that Trump will bring jobs from overseas.

Help - He'll create jobs. Atmosphere of hope.

Don't know - Trump is a businessman. We'll see what he can do.

Jobs situation since 2008 under Obama has not been good.

Source: Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc.

Concludes Challenger:

Since we don’t know which policies Trump will push or whether those policies will be enacted through the legislative process, it is impossible to say what the long-term impact of a Trump administration will be on employment and the job market. The good news is that the economy has strong momentum heading into the next six to 12 months. Unemployment continues to fall, with both payrolls and wages increasing.

Job seekers should be confident about their odds of success in the near future. It is a seller’s market, with employers in some metropolitan area trying to find talent in a labor pool with less than three percent unemployment. Job seekers with the right skills and experience will succeed in this market, regardless of who is in the White House.

2016 CHALLENGER CALL-IN SURVEY RESULTS

Gender

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

Female

52%

66%

53%

61%

57%

54%

Male

48%

33%

47%

38%

43%

46%

Are you unemployed?

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

Yes

63%

44%

71%

68%

68%

77%

No

37%

56%

29%

32%

32%

23%

If employed, are you underemployed?

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

Yes

38%

61%

61%

44%

38%

No

62%

39%

39%

56%

62%

If unemployed, how long have you been out of work

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

1 - 3 Months

29%

53%

25%

24%

23%

20%

4 - 6 Months

25%

12%

26%

22%

18%

17%

7 - 9 Months

7%

3%

9%

9%

9%

5%

10 - 12 Months

5%

3%

7%

10%

11%

9%

More than a year

34%

28%

47%

36%

39%

50%

How long do you think it will take to find new position?

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

1 - 3 Months

31%

38%

28%

23%

23%

28%

4 - 6 Months

38%

42%

40%

40

32%

37%

7 - 9 Months

15%

11%

18%

16%

19%

14%

10 - 12 Months

4%

6%

9%

10%

12%

12%

More than a year

12%

3%

6%

11%

15%

10%

Top Most Difficult Part of the Job Search*

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

Preparing the resume

7%

11%

9%

9%

10%

5%

Networking

13%

10%

13%

14%

17%

12%

Getting interviews

25%

29%

26%

31%

28%

24%

Finding job openings

23%

18%

29%

29%

30%

27%

Interviewing well

10%

14%

7%

11%

8%

6%

Dealing with rejection

2%

2%

2%

4%

5%

4%

Filling out applications

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

Other

19%

14%

12%

N/A

N/A

N/A

Source: Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc.

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