econintersect.com
       
  

FREE NEWSLETTER: Econintersect sends a nightly newsletter highlighting news events of the day, and providing a summary of new articles posted on the website. Econintersect will not sell or pass your email address to others per our privacy policy. You can cancel this subscription at any time by selecting the unsubscribing link in the footer of each email.



posted on 14 May 2016

Only Purple Squirrels Need Apply

from Lakshman Achuthan, Co-Founder and Chief Operations Officer of ECRI

With job openings at near-record highs, according to the JOLTS data, some see an extraordinarily tight labor market. What they seemed to have missed amid the euphoric headlines was the drop in actual hiring. Here we update our analysis from last fall.

As the chart shows, the difference between the number hired and the number of job openings dropped to about half a million shortly before the start of the last two recessions (shaded areas). It then surged, peaking a little below two million soon after those recessions ended.

Following those two post-recession highs, hirings minus openings kept trending down for years. However, in the current cycle, it fell almost to the half-million mark by mid-2012, but then kept trending down, and has been negative almost continuously since early last year.

The point is that the difference between the number hired and the number of job openings is not merely shrinking, but has plunged to a negative half a million jobs. How can that be happening at the same time most headlines suggest the job market is strong?

When the number of job openings surges so much faster than economic growth, it results in a large and growing divergence between those ostensible job openings and authentic hiring. This is not an indication of a truly tight labor market. If it were, wages would be soaring, whereas wage growth has actually declined in real terms since last fall.

Rather, this suggests that employers are being increasingly choosy, and intensifying their hunt for the so-called "purple squirrel" - candidates with the perfect combination of skills, education and experience, who will work for peanuts. It is because purple squirrels are the rarest of creatures, that real hiring has dropped.

So the spurt in headline job openings is a misleading marker, and the job market is not really as tight as some believe. There is more than enough slack for employers to be picky without needing to boost wages significantly to attract suitable candidates.

The job market reality, then, is that many of "job openings" will never be filled, as only purple squirrels need apply.

>>>>> Scroll down to view and make comments <<<<<<

Click here for Historical News Post Listing










Make a Comment

Econintersect wants your comments, data and opinion on the articles posted.  As the internet is a "war zone" of trolls, hackers and spammers - Econintersect must balance its defences against ease of commenting.  We have joined with Livefyre to manage our comment streams.

To comment, using Livefyre just click the "Sign In" button at the top-left corner of the comment box below. You can create a commenting account using your favorite social network such as Twitter, Facebook, Google+, LinkedIn or Open ID - or open a Livefyre account using your email address.



You can also comment using Facebook directly using he comment block below.





Econintersect Contributors


search_box

Print this page or create a PDF file of this page
Print Friendly and PDF


The growing use of ad blocking software is creating a shortfall in covering our fixed expenses. Please consider a donation to Econintersect to allow continuing output of quality and balanced financial and economic news and analysis.


Take a look at what is going on inside of Econintersect.com
Main Home
Analysis Blog
The Devil's Advocate - There ARE Recession Warning Flags
The Theory of the Monetary Circuit: A Critique
News Blog
I'm Adopted
August 2016 Leading Index Review: Little Good News
Fed Hold No Surprise
Global Growth And Inflation Remain Low Initial Impact Of Brexit Is Muted
Infographic Of The Day: Fast Facts On Coffee Consumption
The Dallas Pension System Embraces Risk With Alternative Assets
Early Headlines: G-7 Inflat. Linked Bonds Indicate Deflation, Fracking Effic. Increasing, Cat. 5 Hurricane, Honest Economist Traitor In Greece, China Mfg Firms And More
Facebook Apps Most Popular, Google Has Strongest Overall Presence
The Months Of The Year With The Most Births
Blackberry Quits Smartphone Production
New Water Plumes From Jupiter's Moon Europa Raise Hopes Of Detecting Microbial Life
The Top U.S. Metro Areas For Startup Growth
What We Read Today 30 September 2016
Investing Blog
A New Lifeline For Nuclear
Investing.com Weekly Wrap-Up 30 September 2016
Opinion Blog
Monetary Theory Gets Taken To School
First: 'Over-Population End-of Times' Now: 'Shrinking Population Disaster'
Precious Metals Blog
Where Silver Prices Are Headed Now After Fed's Latest Inaction
Live Markets
30Sep2016 Market Close: Markets Teetering On Investor Doubt, Will Collapse Of Deutsche Bank Matter, US Dollar Headed South Along With Gold, Higher Crude Prices Sure To Take Market Down
Amazon Books & More






.... and keep up with economic news using our dynamic economic newspapers with the largest international coverage on the internet
Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government



Crowdfunding ....






























 navigate econintersect.com

Blogs

Analysis Blog
News Blog
Investing Blog
Opinion Blog
Precious Metals Blog
Markets Blog
Video of the Day
Weather

Newspapers

Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government
     

RSS Feeds / Social Media

Combined Econintersect Feed
Google+
Facebook
Twitter
Digg

Free Newsletter

Marketplace - Books & More

Economic Forecast

Content Contribution

Contact

About

  Top Economics Site

Investing.com Contributor TalkMarkets Contributor Finance Blogs Free PageRank Checker Active Search Results Google+

This Web Page by Steven Hansen ---- Copyright 2010 - 2016 Econintersect LLC - all rights reserved