posted on 14 October 2015
Written by Frank Li
The 20th century was clearly America's! But who will have the 21st century and who deserves it? China, unless America changes as I have suggested (Solution for America (Version 3))!
In order for America to have any chance in her head-to-head competition with China, America must understand China much better (America: What is China, Anyway?) as well as herself (What is America, Anyway?). In this post, I will further explain to my fellow Americans what China is ("Communist China", Really?), by an easily understandable analogy: China is Japan times 10!
During the last century, America faced two serious challenges from Japan:
In both cases, America prevailed! Now, China is said to be well positioned to unseat America as the #1 economy in the world. Will China fail in overtaking America, just as Japan did in the 1980s (China as number one? Remember Japan in the '80s)?
Highly unlikely! I believe China will not only unseat America as the #1 economy by 2030, but also continue to further distance herself from America after 2030, with no end in sight! Why? Because China is Japan times 10!
2. Japan vs. America
Japan and America could not be more different, as highlighted below:
Bottom line: no matter how hard the Japanese work and how "relaxed" Americans are, America's overwhelming richness in natural resources has won the head-on competition with Japan, twice, so far!
Unfortunately, most of America's advantages over Japan will no longer be true in our competition with China! Additionally, China has some key advantages over America ...
3. Japan vs. America vs. China
Here is a high-level comparison of Japan, America, and China:
I use a numerical scale (1 - bad; 10 - good) to quantitatively illustrate, very roughly and unscientifically, the differences among the three countries.
Let me briefly explain the seven comparing aspects one by one:
It's very important for the world, especially America, to truly understand China, as well as Japan and America, particularly their recent histories.
Simply put, the China "miracle" over the past 25 years is at least as significant as the Japan "miracle" for the 25 years from 1869 to 1894. So in terms of significance and lasting implications, the China miracle might be even more astonishing than the Japan miracle.
Here is an excerpt from a previous post (Twenty-Five Years in Recent Human History) about Japan (1869-1894):
Here is an excerpt from the same post about China (1978-2003):
Needless to say, China has been even more amazing since 2004, while both America and Japan have experienced a precipitous decline.
Here is an excerpt from the same post about America (1989-2014):
Very importantly, China has had little imperialism throughout her 5000-year history! In contrast, Imperial Japan has lost her preeminent position because of imperialism, while Democratic Imperialism has been adding to America's decline for decades.
Bottom line: America must truly understand China better, and get its own house in order before it's too late!
Below are four key points Americans must understand:
The image below highlights the key differences between China and America (as well as Japan) today.
To learn more about China and its remarkable progress beyond the imagination of most Americans today, read: China, Connected!
China is no Japan - Today's China is vastly superior to Japan, ever! But is China really 10 times better than Japan? Perhaps not! But you get the idea, hopefully!
China is awake, finally, and Napoléon was right!
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