Weekend Market Commentary: Special Edition

Weekend Market Commentary For 07-05-2014

UPDATED:1000 EST 2014-07-05

I do not see the market bear that others are seeing, please show me where I am wrong! The markets climbed to new highs this past week, Fed Chair Yellen doesn't see any problems and the $VIX has reached the lows last recorded in 2007.

What can possibly go wrong?

Follow up:

This FRED chart clearly shows the Index far from turning down and that the present bull run has not come close, so far, to turning around. Yes, there is a downturn in our future, but it isn't this year as many would have you to believe. So where are the bears all the doom and gloomer's are talking about?

Leading Index for the United States

(See Chart Here)

Markets do turn around, but when is the next downturn coming? Given the sometime slow speed in which bull markets peak and turn down, we could be looking at mid 2015 or early 2016 before the bears are unleashed.

The chart in the article below show indicators implying we are most likely in late Stage 4 or early Stage 5 of the current business cycle and heading toward a business cycle peak and stock market peak which could start as early as 4th quarter 2014.

Intermarket Analysis & Business Cycle Investing

(See Chart Here) Evidence for Current Phase of the Business Cycle Chart

Your opinions are welcome and would love to hear yours.

WTI oil closed Friday at 103.76 (down -0.30 -0.29%)

Brent oil closed Friday at 110.60 (down -0.41 -0.36%)

Copper closed Friday at 3.270 (down -0.010 -0.30%)

The Demon The Gold Bears Are Mistakenly Overlooking

Gold closed Friday at 1321.30 (up +0.70 +0.05%)

If you would like to get advanced buy/sell tweets, sign-up in the column to the right of this post by clicking on the 'Follow' button. Write me with suggestions and I promise not to bite.

Thursday's Market Numbers

Leading Stock Quotes powered by Investing.com

To contact me with questions, comments or constructive criticism is always encouraged and appreciated:

gary@econintersect.com

Written by Gary

 









Make a Comment

Econintersect wants your comments, data and opinion on the articles posted.  As the internet is a "war zone" of trolls, hackers and spammers - Econintersect must balance its defences against ease of commenting.  We have joined with Livefyre to manage our comment streams.

To comment, just click the "Sign In" button at the top-left corner of the comment box below. You can create a commenting account using your favorite social network such as Twitter, Facebook, Google+, LinkedIn or Open ID - or open a Livefyre account using your email address.















 navigate econintersect.com

Blogs

Analysis Blog
News Blog
Investing Blog
Opinion Blog
Precious Metals Blog
Markets Blog
Video of the Day
Weather

Newspapers

Asia / Pacific
Europe
Middle East / Africa
Americas
USA Government
     

RSS Feeds / Social Media

Combined Econintersect Feed
Google+
Facebook
Twitter
Digg

Free Newsletter

Marketplace - Books & More

Economic Forecast

Content Contribution

Contact

About

  Top Economics Site

Investing.com Contributor TalkMarkets Contributor Finance Blogs Free PageRank Checker Active Search Results Google+

This Web Page by Steven Hansen ---- Copyright 2010 - 2016 Econintersect LLC - all rights reserved