Market Commentary: Russell 2000 Recovers From 1090 Support, DOW Suffers 1% Losses And Triple Digits

May 15th, 2014
in Gary's blogging, market close

Written by

Closing Market Commentary For 05-15-2014

The good news is that the $RUT closed above the 1090 support encouraging the bulls among us with hope of melting back up. The bad news is that the DOW closed down triple digits and near 1% off in losses, but pulled back from the 50 DMA.

By 4 pm the averages had melted off the session lows, but remained firmly in the red on moderate volume. We have seen this action before and after what becomes a bear trap the markets consolidate sideways. It is what comes next is my big worry.

Follow up:

The $RUT ended the session with a 'hammer' candlestick that usually means a reversal back up the next day like it did on 02-05-2014 and 04-15-2014. Other indicators also point the averages upward tomorrow, but remember this market is full of surprises.

Russell 2000 in correction territory, but small caps usually suffer intra-year drops of 10% or more

The Russell 2000 on Thursday traded as much as 10.4% below its March 4 closing high, meaning in correction territory. But one portfolio manager has noted that small-cap stocks usually suffer intra-year drops of 10% or more.

Continue Reading »

World events and issues in the Ukraine could change the face of the markets in a heartbeat should they get sour.

Dow Dumps To Red For 2014 As Treasury Yields Tumble Again

Despite two desperate attempts to juice stocks overnight via JPY, US equities opened red and got redder.

The selling climaxed when Europe closed and stocks rallied handsomely "off the lows" proving Tepper wrong and the rest of CNBC right (right?)

The S&P ramped back up perfectly to VWAP (thank you Michelle) as 330ET BTFD'ers ensured it closed back above the all-important 50-day-moving-average.

The Dow did not bounce like its higher-beta short-squeezing cousins and dropped back into the red for 2014.

Away from stocks, bonds just kept rallying - but everyone said that couldn't happen - to new multi-month low yields for 10Y and 30Y (-13bps on the week).

Commodities lost ground with gold back under $1300 as the USD ripped and dipped to close unchanged on the day. VIX popped back over 13 with its biggest rise in 5 weeks.

The short term indicators are leaning towards the hold side at the close. The all important signs of reversal, up or down, have not been observed so we are mostly, at best, neutral and conservatively holding. The important DMA's, volume and a host of other studies have not turned and that is not enough for me to start shorting. The SP500 MACD has turned flat, but remains above zero at 6.13. I would advise caution in taking any position during this volatile transition period although shows a 48 % buy. (Most likely correct for tomorrow.) members' sentiments are 66 % bearish.

If you would like to get advanced buy/sell tweets, sign-up in the column to the right of this post by clicking on the 'Follow' button. Write me with suggestions and I promise not to bite.

The DOW at 4:00 is at 16447 down 167 or -1.01%.

The SP500 is at 1871 down 18 or -0.94%.

SPY is at 187.36 down 1.66 or -0.88%.

The $RUT is at 1096 down 7 or -0.65%.

NASDAQ is at 4069 down 31 or -0.76%.

NASDAQ 100 is at 3565 down 28 or -0.78%.

$VIX 'Fear Index' is at 13.15 up 0.98 or 8.05%. Neutral to slight bullish Movement

(Follow Real Time Market Averages at end of this article)

The longer trend is up, the past months trend is sideways, the past 5 sessions have been sideways and the current bias is positive.

How Oil Really Gets Priced

WTI oil is trading between 102.24 (resistance) and 101.31 (support) today. The session bias is negative and is currently trading up at 101.50.

Brent Crude is trading between 109.63 (resistance) and 108.83 (support) today. The session bias is negative and is currently trading up at 109.02.

Gold fell from 1306.63 earlier to 1291.32 and is currently trading up at 1296.20. The current intra-session trend is volatile and sideways.

Analysts forecast a corrosive year for copper prices

Dr. Copper is at 3.145 falling from 3.170 earlier.

The US dollar is trading between 80.40 and 79.97 and is currently trading up at 80.09, the bias is currently sideways and volatile.

Real Time Market Numbers

Leading Stock Quotes powered by

To contact me with questions, comments or constructive criticism is always encouraged and appreciated:


Written by Gary


Make a Comment

Econintersect wants your comments, data and opinion on the articles posted. You can also comment using Facebook directly using he comment block below.



Analysis Blog
News Blog
Investing Blog
Opinion Blog
Precious Metals Blog
Markets Blog
Video of the Day


Asia / Pacific
Middle East / Africa
USA Government

RSS Feeds / Social Media

Combined Econintersect Feed

Free Newsletter

Marketplace - Books & More

Economic Forecast

Content Contribution



  Top Economics Site Contributor TalkMarkets Contributor Finance Blogs Free PageRank Checker Active Search Results Google+

This Web Page by Steven Hansen ---- Copyright 2010 - 2018 Econintersect LLC - all rights reserved