Written by Gary
Closing Market Commentary For 09-04-2013
Markets slide sideways for most of the late session on lower than normal volume. Although the markets closed up in a respectable manner, the averages look weak, unattractive and could very well collapse under their own weight.
By 4 pm we saw trading confined in a narrow range bound zone where the highs of the day filled several significant gaps. It appears the averages have reached a resistance, but low volume will not be enough to push the numbers through and above.
The problem I have with this weakness and supposedly house of cards that will fall at any moment is that I can see technical reasons why the markets should continue to move up. Yes, the nails that are used are indeed rusty and failing a critical points, but I can't see the bottom falling out just yet.
What I see is a testing of the resistance level (and tops) formed around the first of August, 2013. That is where I believe today's markets will rise to or at least very close to fill another gap made after 8-14-2013.
The gap lies at 1685 for the SP500 and 1048 for the $RUT. From there is a VERY strong resistance that could signal a 'correction' all the pundits have been wailing about.
The DOW at 4:00 is at 14931 up 97 or 0.65%.
The SP500 is at 1653 up 13 or 0.81%.
SPY is at 165.88 up 1.50 or 0.90%.
The $RUT is at 1025 up 9 or 0.92%.
NASDAQ is at 3649 up 36 or 1.01%.
NASDAQ 100 is at 3124 up 33 or 1.06%.
The longer trend is up, the past months trend is bullish, the past 5 sessions have been sideways and the current bias is sideways.
WTI oil is trading between 108.60 and 106.84 today. The session bias is negative and is currently trading down at 107.26.
Brent Crude is trading between 116.02 and 114.44 today. The session bias is negative and is currently trading down at 114.89.
Gold fell from 1414.99 earlier to 1384.73 and is currently trading down at 1383.10.
Dr. Copper is at 3.249 falling from 3.314 earlier.
The US dollar is trading between 82.46 and 82.11 and is currently trading down at 82.16, the bias is currently bearish.
To contact me with questions, comments or constructive criticism is always encouraged and appreciated:
Written by Gary