April 24th, 2012
in Gary's blogging
The monetary problems alone of just supporting illegals has reached deep into the pockets of the US taxpayer while the lame politicians in Washington continue to argue over what to do, year after year. I know there is good Leno joke in this, but in this real-world saga of politics and financial blunderings it is hard not to pen in something that everyone can laugh at. But not today as the not-so-funny part, of course, is that these bedfellows involves your money and sanity.
As noted in other articles I have written and from the news medias at large, your money and sanity are both in short supply. It used to be Adiós Gringos now it is goodby 'Wet Back's' as we ponder the many implications and seek out answers. Follow up:
But there is some good news in that the four decade old illegal immigration of the Mexican's has for the first time turned around. That has a lot of financial analyst, such as myself, are worried about how deep the economy has actually fallen and will it exacerbate any recovery. We really don't know and probably won't for years to come until studies look back and connect the dots. But for now, it depicts a story that may be a lot worse that previously thought.
Some sociology experts believe the Mexican’s 40 year influx into the US are over and won't return. “I think the massive boom in Mexican immigration is over and I don’t think it will ever return to the numbers we saw in the 1990s and 2000s,” said Douglas Massey, a professor of sociology at Princeton University. That is one view I do not believe will hold true once the US economy engine is chugging along once again and the “Land of Plenty” provides an irresistible greener grass on the other side of the fence.
Obviously, the effluence of illegals, to and from the US, will remain an important bellwether for any indication of improving employment statics and the financial burden on US taxpayers here in the USA. The more Mexican's that self-deport themselves and leave the US labor pool, the worse the American Employment crisis and economy is regardless what positive shifts the BLS 'modified' reports has to say. The other side of the argument is that more American's are being employed because of Mexican's diminishing numbers and some needed relief to the taxpayer which will help the recovery effort.
Interestingly Presidential hopeful Mitt Romney’s vision of ‘self-deportation’ may actually be happening much to the dismay of many hard-liners.
“The answer is self-deportation, which is people decide they can do better by going home because they can’t find work here because they don’t have legal documentation to allow them to work here,” he said. “So we’re not going to round people up,” he added.”
A 70% drop in apprehension of illegals crossing into the US from Mexico has been noted as fewer Mexican's are crossing into the US. The falling-off of arrests has been significant not because of the US Border Patrol's hardline approach this past year, but mostly fewer Mexican's are taking a chance of the extreme dangers of exposure in the bad lands of the Southern US plus the violence at the border. Also, adding to the decline is the reduced home construction jobs, reduced Mexican birth rate in the US and a rise of deportations.
Mexican illegals comprise of 60% of all illegal immigrants according to census data from the U.S. and Mexican governments. Sometimes jokingly referred to as “Undocumented Democrats” by the Right, Mexican's are headed in unprecedented huge numbers back to Mexico according to the same census data. The other side of the aisle jokes, “Now who will mow Mitt Romney's lawn(s)”
The debate of how to control and deport America's millions of illegal immigrants is often a hotly discussed topic and usually split along party lines. Estimates of 12 to 15 million Mexican’s living in the US have in the most part taken jobs many believe most American's do not want. But that may be changing as more of the millions of unemployed American's willingness to take on any work that will put food on the table. Also US employers would also rather hire American's than Mexicans because of sometimes serious reprimands for the US government.
You know its bad when...the net flow of Mexicans into the US has fallen so much that there is a high probability that it is now in reverse ending around forty years of inward migration.
This sharp downward trend in net migration has led to the first significant decrease in at least two decades in the number of unauthorized Mexican immigrants living in the U.S. - to 6.1 million in 2011, down from a peak of nearly 7 million in 2007. In the five years from 2005 to 2010, about 1.4m Mexicans immigrated to the US – exactly the same number of Mexican immigrants and their US-born children who quit the US and moved back or were deported to Mexico.
It will be interesting to see the spin that the Obama and Romney camps put on this hot-button topic as the 'Dream Act' turns into a nightmare and hardline anti-illegal immigration stances become, well, less relevant as Mexicans become Mexi-can'ts."
The Pew Center said in a statement, “The standstill appears to result from the weakened U.S. job market, heightened border enforcement, a rise in deportations, the growing dangers associated with illegal border crossings, and changing economic and demographic conditions in Mexico”
“Whether the reversal is temporary or permanent, it could have significant implications for the United States. Many Mexican immigrants work in agriculture and construction.
One in 10 people born in Mexico live in the United States, and more than half entered illegally. Most live in California and Texas.”
When the number of illegal Mexican’s start to return to the US, we can say the Employment is starting to stabilize. If nothing else it will give time to the politicians to fix the problem of Mexican illegal immigration.
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Written by Gary