Tags: u.s. economy

Uncertain Economy and Uncertain Fed

October 13th, 2015
in contributors

In February when we wrote the March 2015 Macro Strategy Review (MSR), we predicted that there would be very little acceleration in average hourly earnings in coming months from the 2.2% annual increase that had prevailed since the spring of 2010. more »

Forward Markets: Macro Strategy Review

July 14th, 2015
in contributors

After the U.S. Department of Commerce revised its second estimate of first quarter gross domestic product (GDP), it reported that it contracted -0.2% rather than a decline of -0.7%. As forecast, the economy is rebounding in the second quarter after slipping in the first quarter. more »

Macro Strategy Review for June 2015

June 16th, 2015
in contributors

The U.S. Commerce Department first estimated that first quarter gross domestic product (GDP) grew 0.2%, but this did not include March trade data as the information was not yet available.In March, the trade deficit rose to $51.4 billion from $35.9 billion in February primarily due to more »

Headwinds for Central Banks

November 11th, 2014
in contributors

The Federal Reserve (Fed) has indicated that it will be data dependent in deciding when it will raise interest rates. The recent decline in inflation expectations, economic weakness in Europe, the plunge in oil prices and heightened financial market volatility will only serve to reinforce the scrutiny of incoming data. Whenever more »

About That 500% Jump in Interest Rates...

September 29th, 2014
in contributors

The verdict is in...Last week, at the end of its regularly scheduled meeting, the Federal Reserve said:It would continue to reduce the amount of money it creates each month. The Fed said it will be out of the money printing business by the end of this year. By that time, the more »

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