Tags: consumer sentiment

Ominous Portents in Consumer Sentiment

July 23rd, 2014
in contributors

While the media focuses on the meaningless short term squiggles in consumer confidence indicators, I like to look at the long term trend. I like it because US consumers in the aggregate are far better forecasters of markets and the US economy than are the professional more »

Why Buying Dips Isn't Always Recommended

April 16th, 2014
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Buy the Dips? Not Always. More Selling Coming.by Michael ClarkA Lesson in Political History, by My Account; Followed by A Description of the CGTS Stock Selection Process Yesterday a fresh wave of selling hit the markets. This did not surprise us. We… more »

The Week Ahead: More Interest Rate Surge?

June 2nd, 2013
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by Jeff Miller, A Dash of Insight Since 2008 investors have preferred bonds to stocks. When the valuation difference became compelling, the stock rebound was led by defensive sectors – anything with attractive yield. We are now at a crucial point in th… more »

The Week Ahead: Any Soft Patches or Holes in the Road?

March 31st, 2013
in contributors

by Jeff Miller, A Dash of Insight With each new week, there is a fresh challenge to the most-hated market rally. Last week it was Cyrpus. As I have suggested over the last two weeks in the WTWA series, this issue created volatility that provided opport… more »

The Week Ahead: Fireworks Coming?

July 1st, 2012
in contributors

by Jeff Miller Forecasting fireworks this week should be pretty safe! I will have trouble outdoing last week's WTWA theme: Upside Surprises. Nearly everyone in the comments disagreed with me. Sentiment is so negative that you can hardly get a good… more »

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