Tags: deflation

When it Comes to Recession and Deflation, the Fed is the Last to Know

August 31st, 2015
in Op Ed

The Federal Reserve uses a complicated econometric model to make its forecasts about the U.S. economy. This model is called "Federal Reserve Bank U.S.," nicknamed FERBUS. It shows growth of 5% in the near future. more »

The Many Failures of the CPI

May 6th, 2015
in Op Ed

Austrians oppose the whole notion of trying to accurately measure "inflation" which mainstream economists see as a general rise in prices. (Austrians view inflation as a politically engineered increase in the money supply.) more »

Notes on Deflation From Tokyo

April 13th, 2015
in Op Ed

I arrived in Japan on Friday and have been exploring Tokyo with my 16-year-old son, Calvin.Earlier this year, I wrote to you about the deflationary chill affecting U.S. and European markets. I used the metaphor of an ice age, borrowing from the late Barton Biggs. And I focused more »

Reading Mensik’s "The Origins of the Income Theory of Money"

March 5th, 2015
in Op Ed

The title of this post was taken from a paper by Josef Mensik, a colleague of mine from Brno in the Czech Republic. The abstract starts like this:The income theory of money was conceived in the 19th century, and in the first half of the 20th century it formed the backbone of all the more »

Is Monetary Policy Too Complicated for Mainstream to Understand?

February 8th, 2015
in Op Ed

It is amazing how far Central Banks have been allowed to go with regard to policy tools and influence, and how extreme their policy measures have become since the financial crisis. No other form of governmental authority has been granted these types of unrestrained powers in any more »

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