Tags: el nino

NOAA Quietly Rescinds Faux El Nino

June 27th, 2015
in News, econ_news, syndication

Econintersect: On 05 March 2015 NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) posted a news release: NOAA: Elusive El Nino arrives. The headline was accompanied by the subtitle: "Forecasters predict it will stay weak, have little influence on we… more »

El Niño Could Mean 2015 is Even Hotter Than Last Year's Scorcher

January 21st, 2015
in econ_news

It’s confirmed: 2014 produced the highest global temperatures since records began in the 1880s. As if that’s not cause enough for concern, this year threatens to see the return of El Niño, which like some enraged climate-driven Godzilla, could emerge from the depths of the South more »

December 22, Weather and Climate Report: U.S. Seasonal Outlook Update - A Complex Situation

December 22nd, 2014
in econ_news, syndication

by Sig Silber The Seasonal Outlooks were released on December 18. They are not very different from the November 20 release. However the complexity has not been reduced as one might have anticipated. NOAA is still struggling with how to integrate a "near El Nino" and an at least short-term change to PDO Positive into their Seasonal Outlook and at least this time they have acknowledged that the El Nino activity is more of a Central Pacific nature and shifts weather patterns to the west. Also the anomalous reappearance of the high pressure ridge off the West Coast makes short-term forecasting difficult both for the meteorologists and their computer models. more »

December 15 Weather and Climate Report: Not Quite El Nino?

December 16th, 2014
in econ_news, syndication

by Sig Silber This potential El Nino appears to be weakening going into January becoming a "near El Nino" but it will still have impacts especially because the water of the Pacific Coast is warmer than usual creating what is called a positive PDO pattern. It looks like the weather pattern is changing into a winter pattern which will make forecasting easier for NOAA. A new Seasonal Outlook will be issued on Thursday and it will be interesting to see if the reduced strength of the forecasted El Nino is reflected in the new Seasonal Outlook. more »

December 8 Weather and Climate Report: Looking Ahead to the State of Ocean Cycles in 2050

December 8th, 2014
in econ_news, syndication

by Sig Silber El Nino may already be on the wane at least temporarily. In this report I show a method for forecasting the probability of drought in different parts of the Lower 48 through 2050. It can be looked at as one reasonable scenario. It shows how drought moves around the Lower 48 in response to the condition of our oceans. This type of information can be very useful to all those impacted by drought or non-drought. more »

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