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Week Ending 15 Jun 2013: Rail Traffic Improving Trend Continues

June 20th, 2013
in econ_news, syndication

Econintersect: Week 24 of 2013 ending 15 June shows same week total rail traffic (from same week one year ago) improved according to data released by the Association of American Railroads (AAR). Both railcar count and intermodal is up.

  • Weekly overall data is up, and up ignoring coal and grain;
  • Four week rolling average is improving, and better than the rolling average one year ago;
  • 13 week rolling average is improving, and better than the rolling average one year ago;
  • 52 week rolling average is improving, and better than the rolling average one year ago;

Follow up:

A summary of the data:

Four of the 10 carload commodity groups posted increases compared with the same week in 2012, led by petroleum and petroleum products, up 35.6 percent. Commodities showing a decrease compared with the same week last year included grain, down 12.1 percent.

For the first 24 weeks of 2013, U.S. railroads reported cumulative volume of 6,648,308 carloads, down 1.6 percent from the same point last year, and 5,767,958 intermodal units, up 3.9 percent from last year. Total U.S. traffic for the first 24 weeks of 2013 was 12,416,266 carloads and intermodal units, up 0.9 percent from last year.

USA coal production is up 2.1% same week year-over-year, and coal over the last few months is becoming a neutral to positive dynamic on rail.

This Week
Carloads Intermodal Total
This week Year-over-Year 0.5% 1.7% 1.1%
Ignoring coal and grain 2.6%
Year Cumulative to Date -1.6% 3.9% 0.9%

[click on graph below to enlarge]

Current Rail Chart

/images/z rail1.pn

From EIA.gov:

For the week ended June 15, 2013:

  • U.S. coal production totaled approximately 19.7 million short tons (mmst)
  • This production estimate is 8.5 percent higher than last week's estimate and 2.1 percent higher than the production estimate in the comparable week in 2012
  • Coal production east of the Mississippi River totaled 8.2 mmst
  • Coal production west of the Mississippi River totaled 11.5 mmst
  • U.S. year-to-date coal production totaled 443.6 mmst, 5.4 percent lower than the comparable year-to-date coal production in 2012
  • Source: AAR









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