Econintersect: Rail traffic YoY growth declined slightly year-over-year in week eighteen of 2011 ending 07 May 2011 according to Railfax.
The biggest post-recession growth in rail traffic occurred in the 1st quarter of 2010 – and year-over-year comparisons are increasingly compared to stronger data. Performance year to date for 2011 has been weakening.
Last week rail traffic was up 3.3% year-over-year, while this week it is up slightly to 3.2% YoY. The four week moving average declined from 3.7% to a less good 2.9% YoY. Year-to-date gains declined from 5.9% to 5.7%.
Total US Rail Traffic
Major Commodity Groups | Total | Grain | Chemicals | Food | Forest | Metals | Coal | Autos | Intermodal |
Current Week | |||||||||
Vs. 2010 | 3.2% | 19.2% | 1.3% | (0.9%) | (2.4%) | 1.2% | (7.4%) | (4.5%) | 11.2% |
Vs. 2009 | 18.2% | 30.0% | 17.2% | (3.1%) | 9.3% | 64.8% | 0.4% | 43.9% | 26.7% |
4 Week Rolling Avg. | |||||||||
Vs. 2010 | 2.9% | 13.9% | 1.9% | (0.8%) | (1.9%) | 0.7% | (4.2%) | 1.9% | 8.8% |
Vs. 2009 | 18.3% | 32.5% | 14.0% | 0.6% | 8.8% | 78.2% | 3.3% | 39.1% | 24.2% |
Quarter to Date | |||||||||
Vs. 2010 | 3.6% | 14.3% | 2.1% | (1.8%) | (2.5%) | 2.6% | (3.8%) | 6.6% | 9.5% |
Vs. 2009 | 19.1% | 32.4% | 16.3% | 1.5% | 8.8% | 81.5% | 3.3% | 45.4% | 25.0% |
Year to Date | |||||||||
Vs. 2010 | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | (4.2%) | 4.2% | 8.8% | 1.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% |
Vs. 2009 | 13.7% | 23.2% | 18.6% | 2.1% | 7.8% | 54.6% | (1.6%) | 45.1% | 19.8% |