The Yield Curve and Recessions: Against U.S. - Centricism

June 10th, 2017
in history, macroeconomics

by Philip Pilkington

Article of the Week from Fixing the Economists

One of the nicest stylised facts in applied economics is that if the Fed inverts the yield curve it will cause a recession. Inverting the yield curve basically means that the Fed hikes the short-term interest rate goes higher than the long-term interest rate. In theory this should lead to long-term lending drying up, investment falling significantly (usually in housing and inventories) and, ultimately, a recession.

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Money and Banking, Part 18 (B): Overview of the Financial System: A World of Promises

by Eric Tymoigne

Due to the size of this post, it has been split into 2. You can find part A here.

Click for larger image of U.S. Treasury note.

5.dollar.treasury.certificate

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Thoughts from the Frontline: The Great Reset, Part Two

June 4th, 2017
in history, macroeconomics

by John Mauldin, Thoughts from the Frontline

“Premature optimization is the root of all evil…”
– Donald Knuth, from his 1974 Turing Award lecture

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The Concept of Time Preference is Completely at Odds With Reality

June 2nd, 2017
in history, macroeconomics

by Philip Pilkington

Article of the Week from Fixing the Economists

A conversation that I was having some time back reminded me of a rather funny point in economic theory. When we consider the value of a financial asset we take into two components: that is, it’s price and it’s income stream. It’s price is a sort of stock variable while it’s income stream is a flow variable.

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Money and Banking, Part 18 (A): Overview of the Financial System: A World of Promises

by Eric Tymoigne

Due to the size of this post, it was split in two. You can find Part B here.

The M&B series is back! The goal is to finish the first complete draft of the book by the time I need to teach my Money and Banking course.

federal.reserve.front.entrance

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