Mad Hawk Disease Strikes Federal Reserve

by John Mauldin, Thoughts from the Frontline

“A serious writer may be a hawk or a buzzard or even a popinjay, but a solemn writer is always a bloody owl.”– Ernest Hemingway

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The Capital Controversies Rise Once More

Fixing the Economists Article of the Week

by Philip Pilkington

In recent days the old capital controversies have come up again. This has been in response to the work of Thomas Piketty and its championing by the likes of Paul Krugman. Because this work deals with the issue of inequality it is natural that the capital debates should come up once more.

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Healthcare is Boosting GDP Growth

June 30th, 2017
in consumer metrics institute, gdp

by Rick Davis, Consumer Metrics Institute

In their third and final estimate of the US GDP for the first quarter of 2017, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised the growth of the US economy upward to a +1.42% annual rate, up +0.26% from their previous estimate for the first quarter but still down over a half percent (-0.66%) from the +2.08% reported for the fourth quarter of 2016.

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Chasing Utopia: Solow Versus Harrod-Domar

June 24th, 2017
in history, macroeconomics

by Philip Pilkington

I’m currently reading Robert Solow’s paper A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth in which he lays out his famous Solow growth model. I don’t want to get into the actual model laid out here but instead ask what exactly this paper is trying to address. As readers of this blog will probably know I find so-called ‘long-run’ models to be about as useful for understanding the economy as toy train sets are for understanding the operations of an actual train. But in many instances the reasoning they are based on is poisonous and somewhat dangerous.

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The Next Minsky Moment

by John Mauldin, Thoughts from the Frontline

“China’s economy has entered a state of new normal.”– Premier Li Keqiang, 2015

“Success breeds a disregard of the possibility of failure.”– Hyman Minsky

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