Stratfor: Berlin Fears a High Court Ruling Could Threaten the European Union

April 15th, 2014
in aa syndication, stratfor, eurozone and euro

By Marc Lanthemann

The Greek economy ended its four-year exile from international markets last week with a triumphant 3 billion euro (about $4.1 billion) bond sale. The global financial media trumpeted this somewhat unexpected achievement as a sign that things were finally turning around in the European Union's most blighted country. Media reports to the contrary, Greece's return to the market does nothing to resolve Greece's systemic economic deficiencies. Instead, it enables Greece to build up more debt, which will leave it a permanent bailout state for the foreseeable future.

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Are These 10-Year EU Sovereign Debt Yields Sustainable?

April 15th, 2014
in aa syndication, eurozone and euro

by Michael Haltman, Hallmark Abstract Service LLC

This chart shows the May 18, 2012 10-year sovereign debt yields for the United States, Japan, and the five EU PIIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain)!

Yield spreads between the countries were at these exaggerated levels (although improved for most from the depths of the global financial crisis) due to continued concerns over the ability of these weaker EU economies to manage deficits, access the credit markets, improve economic growth and of course stay solvent in the face of demands for austerity.

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February 2014 Business Inventories and Sales Mixed

Written by

Econintersect‘s analysis of final business sales data (retail plus wholesale plus manufacturing) for February 2014 shows sales declined with inventory levels up with inventory levels remaining on the high side of a normal range for periods of expansion. The headline seasonally adjusted data says sales increased. Note this entire data series was revised downward showing lower growth in the last several years.

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Retail Sales See Stronger Growth In March 2014

Written by

Retail sales were up according to US Census. Our analysis agrees although the amount of improvement was less. There was moderate upward backward revision in the unadjusted data - but it was much less than the headline seasonally adjusted data. Even with this improvement in retail sales, the 3 month rolling average of sales growth continued to decelerate.

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All the World's a Stage

Age of Wisdom, Age of Foolishness (21)

Written by ,

The World was referred to as a stage in Shakespeare’s As You Like It and the Merchant of Venice. There is something Shakespearian about the current global-macro scene.

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