The Concept of Time Preference is Completely at Odds With Reality

June 2nd, 2017
in history, macroeconomics

by Philip Pilkington

Article of the Week from Fixing the Economists

A conversation that I was having some time back reminded me of a rather funny point in economic theory. When we consider the value of a financial asset we take into two components: that is, it’s price and it’s income stream. It’s price is a sort of stock variable while it’s income stream is a flow variable.

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Money and Banking, Part 18 (A): Overview of the Financial System: A World of Promises

by Eric Tymoigne

Due to the size of this post, it was split in two. You can find Part B here.

The M&B series is back! The goal is to finish the first complete draft of the book by the time I need to teach my Money and Banking course.

federal.reserve.front.entrance

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Trump’s Biggest Problem - Not the Russian Investigations

by Elliott Morss, Morss Global Finance

Introduction

The papers are full of speculations of possible collusion between Trump associates and the Russians. And there is even now talk of Trump leaning on US intelligence leaders to drop the investigations. However, throughout all of this, his core supporters have stuck with him. But there is an area that will cause him to lose a large segment of his supporters – his policies. Below, supporters and the policies that will cause them to reject him are examined.

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The Great Reset: How Should We Then Invest?

May 29th, 2017
in uncategorized

by John Mauldin, Thoughts from the Frontline

“A speculator is one who runs risks of which he is aware, and an investor is one who runs risks of which he is unaware.”– John Maynard Keynes

“The biggest mistake investors make is to believe that what happened in the recent past is likely to persist. They assume that something that was a good investment in the recent past is still a good investment. Typically, high past returns simply imply that an asset has become more expensive and is a poorer, not better, investment.”– Ray Dalio, founder, Bridgewater Associates, LP

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GDP Improves to Tepid Growth

May 26th, 2017
in consumer metrics institute, gdp

by Rick Davis, Consumer Metrics Institute

26 May 2017 - BEA Revises 1st Quarter 2017 GDP Growth Upward To 1.16%

In their second estimate of the US GDP for the first quarter of 2017, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised the growth of the US economy upward to a +1.16% annual rate, up +0.47% from their previous estimate for the first quarter but still down nearly a percent (-0.92%) from the +2.08% reported for the fourth quarter of 2016.

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