March 2014 JOLTS Soft

May 9th, 2014
in aa syndication, employment

Written by

The BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) can be used as a predictor of future jobs growth, and the predictive elements show that the jobs opening growth rate decelerated. However, the seasonally adjusted data is showing this month's data remains in the narrow ranges seen since the beginning of 2013.

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Wholesale Sales and Inventories Grew in March 2014

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The headlines say March 2014 wholesale sales and inventories grew - and our analysis essentially agrees. This data series is very noisy, and has been on a roller coaster of one good month / one bad month. However, consider that the three month rolling averages for unadjusted sales is decelerating, and the unadjusted sales to inventory ratios are above the range for non-recessionary periods (but lower than last year).

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Human Capital and Income Inequality: Some Facts and Some Puzzles

by Amparo Castello-Climent and Rafael Domenech,

Most developing countries have made a great effort to eradicate illiteracy. As a result, the inequality in the distribution of education has been reduced by more than half from 1950 to 2010. However, inequality in the distribution of income has hardly changed. This column presents evidence from a new dataset on human capital inequality. The authors find that increasing returns to education, globalisation, and skill-biased technological change can explain why the fall in human capital inequality has not been sufficient to reduce income inequality.

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The Economic and Social Case for Legal Recreational Drugs

Written by , Morss Global Finance


Most Americans think the “entertainment” drugs (Marijuana, Opioids, Cocaine, Amphetamines and their derivatives) are bad. Bad or not, their illegality should be reconsidered. Below, I make the factual case for legalizing them.

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March 2014 Consumer Credit: Growth Strengthens

May 7th, 2014
in aa syndication, consumer credit

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Econintersect analysis is that total consumer credit growth accelerated 0.3% month-over-month, and the year-over-year growth is 5.9%. The seasonally adjusted consumer credit headlines are showing a growth of 6.75%. The underlying dynamics continue to be interesting as this is the 13th month of deceleration of the growth of student loans.

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