Always Remember: Balance of Payments Must Balance

December 16th, 2014
in macroeconomics, currency / money

My Reading of the FT on China’s “Turning Away from the Dollar”

by Michael Pettis, China Financial Markets

The Financial Times ran a very interesting article last week called “China: Turning away from the dollar”. It got a lot of attention, at least among China analysts, and I was asked several times by friends and clients for my response.

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Residential Building Sector Not Good in November 2014, Obvious Deceleration in the Averages.

December 16th, 2014
in aa syndication, construction spending

Written by

Residential building permits were not good. Even construction completions outnumbered permits (showing that the future is darkening as there will be less homes to build). All data is decelerating.

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Stratfor: Viewing Russia From the Inside

December 16th, 2014
in aa syndication, stratfor, russia

by George Friedman

Last week I flew into Moscow, arriving at 4:30 p.m. on Dec. 8. It gets dark in Moscow around that time, and the sun doesn't rise until about 10 a.m. at this time of the year — the so-called Black Days versus White Nights. For anyone used to life closer to the equator, this is unsettling. It is the first sign that you are not only in a foreign country, which I am used to, but also in a foreign environment. Yet as we drove toward downtown Moscow, well over an hour away, the traffic, the road work, were all commonplace. Moscow has three airports, and we flew into the farthest one from downtown, Domodedovo — the primary international airport. There is endless renovation going on in Moscow, and while it holds up traffic, it indicates that prosperity continues, at least in the capital.

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Yes Virginia - - -

December 16th, 2014
in aa syndication

Age of Wisdom, Age of Foolishness (55)

Written by , KeySignals.com


“Yo-Ho-Ho!”

Coming out of G20 a couple of weeks ago, the message from policy makers was that Santa Claus still exists and will deliver record equity index closing prices for Christmas. Slightly less credible, were the stories that allegedly he will also deliver economic growth and low inflation. There were nearly 1000 growth requests on Santa’s G20 list this year, submitted by the wide eyed policy makers of the member nations[i]; which apparently add up to a $2 trillion global stimulus package[ii].

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Transformation: The Onrushing Digital Age will Change Everything

December 15th, 2014
in aa syndication, macroeconomics

Written by

The modern era has witnessed two great periods of transformation that have radically changed the global economy and the very nature of human existence. The first was the Industrial Revolution, which started in England in the late 18th century and began to gain steam as industrialization spread to the United States and Germany and ultimately to the entire developed world.

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