Stratfor: The European Union, Nationalism and the Crisis of Europe

January 20th, 2015
in stratfor

by George Friedman

Last week, I wrote about the crisis of Islamic radicalism and the problem of European nationalism. This week's events give me the opportunity to address the question of European nationalism again, this time from the standpoint of the European Union and the European Central Bank, using a term that only an economist could invent: "quantitative easing."

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Here’s Why Blowout Retail Sales Will Cause Market Blowback Next Month

January 20th, 2015
in aa syndication

by Lee Adler, Wall Street Examiner

Markets top out when the news is good. Good news gives central banks the excuse they need to pull the punchbowl. In that respect, yesterday’s “bad news” on retail sales was bad news for stock market bears.

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A Five-Year Global Financial Forecast: Tsunami Warning

January 19th, 2015
in macroeconomics

by John Mauldin, Thoughts from the Frontline

It is the time of the year for forecasts; but rather than do an annual forecast, which is as much a guessing game as anything else (and I am bad at guessing games), I’m going to do a five-year forecast to take us to the end of the decade, which I think may be useful for longer-term investors.

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Incentive Accounts: A Solution to Executive Compensation

January 19th, 2015
in macroeconomics

by  Alex Edmans and Xavier Gabaix

Appeared originally at VoxEU.org, 24 June 2009

Many blame executive compensation for encouraging shortsighted risk-taking. This column argues that compensation should be structured so as to provide incentives consistent with the firm’s position and long-term interest. It proposes “incentive accounts” that it says would be superior to existing compensation schemes.

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Econometricians, Financial Markets and Uncertainty: An Anthropological View

January 18th, 2015
in uncategorized

Fixing the Economists Article of the Week

by Philip Pilkington

I recently read a paper by the anthropologist David Graeber entitled ‘The Sword, The Sponge, and the Paradox of Performativity: Some Observations on Fate, Luck, Financial Chicanery, and the Limits of Human Knowledge‘. Graeber sent it to me because we are hoping to write an article on the emergence of probability theory and its application in the financial markets.

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