Tags: recession

Economy on a Roll

by John Mauldin, Thoughts from the Frontline In addition to popping champagne corks and black-eyed peas (at least in the South) on New Year’s Day, year-end brings something else for economists and portfolio managers: annual forecasts. People want to… more »

Happiness Is a Normal Yield Curve

July 31st, 2017
in macroeconomics

“I never liked quantitative easing. Flattening the yield curve is not stimulative; flattening the yield curve is anti-stimulative.”– Ken Fisher more »

The Devil's Advocate - There ARE Recession Warning Flags

Written by Steven Hansen I started writing economic analysis as I was horrified with the biased analysis being pumped out by pundits. Even today, most analysis I read is either a simple regurgitation of the government's spin on the data or a cherry… more »

Running On Empty - Baseless Economic Optimism

Written by Steven Hansen According to participants in the Chicago Fed's annual Automotive Outlook Symposium, the nation's economic growth is forecasted to be near its long-term average this year and to strengthen somewhat in 2017. Source: Chicago Fed… more »

Heading For A Recession?

Written by Steven Hansen The latest data release for US Treasury Tax Revenues shows the year-over-year growth rolling averages are now in negative territory. Is this a recession flag? more »




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