Tags: lee adler

Falling Mortgage Rates Increase Buyer Subsidy But No Longer Stimulate Sales

October 1st, 2016
in home sales and home prices

There were two important releases on the US housing market today. One is the widely followed Existing Home Sales report from the NAR and the other is a lesser known but more in depth report from the online real estate brokerage Redfin.com. more »

The Economy Will Fluctuate

August 30th, 2016
in macroeconomics

Lest we get too bearish on the US economy in the short run, it pays to remember that even though the Fed has outlawed the business cycle, “the economy will fluctuate.” Contrary to the wisdom of JP Morgan, the stock market may not fluctuate, but the economy will. more »

NAR Home Sales Data Shows Bubble II Still Boiling

July 4th, 2016
in home sales and home prices

The NAR released it May report on sales of existing housing–what it calls “Pending Home Sales.” The report covers actual sales contracts reached during the previous month. The NAR reports the data both on a seasonally manipulated (SA) basis and also on an actual basis, not seasonally manipulated (NSA). The media focuses on the SA numbers. more »

The Opportunity in the Eurozone’s €650 Billion Leak

March 17th, 2016
in eurozone and euro

A funny thing happened while central banks were racing to make money cheap as free… U.S. bank loan and deposit growth continues to go bonkers at annual growth rates of more than 8% for loans and around 6% for deposits more »

Speak No Evil Financial Media Says No Housing “Inflation”, Only “Growth and Gains”

January 5th, 2016
in home sales and home prices

Recent media reports indicate that house prices are rising so I was curious to see how often today’s news reports on the Case Shiller house price index mentioned “inflation.” I also wanted to see just how bad housing inflation is. Lo and behold, in reading the news reports I learned that there is no inflation in housing! more »




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