Category: "trade data"

The US Has Been Running a Huge Trade Deficit for Years: How Can This Happen Without the Dollar Weakening?

May 10th, 2017
in trade data, macroeconomics

by Elliott Morss, Morss Global Finance

Introduction

Many bemoan the large US trade deficit which represents the difference between the export and import of certain goods and services. Since 2000, the US has run an annual deficit ranging between $362 Billion (2001) and $762 billion (2006). Imports require Americans to spend dollars thereby increasing global dollar supplies while US exports reduce dollar supplies. That means imports should weaken the dollar while exports should strengthen it. It follows that such large deficits (net imports) should also weaken the dollar.

dollar.global.currencies

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A Stroll through US Trade Statistics, and How It Always Balances

April 8th, 2017
in trade data

by Timothy Taylor, Conversable Economist

"America’s commerce with the rest of the world must be and always is balanced when taking into account investment flows as well as the exchange of goods and services. ... [O]ne key insight for public policy is that the total outflow of dollars each year from the United States to the rest of the world is matched by an equal inflow of dollars from the rest of the world to the United States. There is no need to worry about a `leakage' of dollars siphoning off demand from the domestic economy. Dollars spent on imported goods and services return to the United States, if not to buy US goods and services, then to buy US assets in the form of an inward flow of investment. ... When we account for all the dollars flowing into the United States, with an adjustment for the statistical discrepancy, it totals the exact same amount. The difference between dollars flowing out and dollars flowing in each year is zero."

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Is Free Trade Harming the Economy?

Written by

I generally get inspiration from the mindless crap (aka opinion) the media pumps out pretending it is news. The media has turned from being mostly biased towards (and non-objective about) the Obama Administration - and mostly biased against (and non-objective about) the Trump Administration. Could it be people are not objective when it comes to those they like or hate?

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The Surprising Pevalence of Surprises in Export Specialisation

January 22nd, 2017
in trade data, macroeconomics

by Voxeu.org

-- this post authored by Diego Daruich, William Easterly and Ariell Reshef

National trade policies have been at the heart of recent policy debates, with many calls for industrial policies to help pick winners. This column shows that while a few export goods account for the bulk of export value within each country, hyper-specialisations are very unstable, making it unlikely that industrial policy will work even in the medium run. The best policy to promote exports would be just to let entrepreneurs exploit new opportunities as they arise.

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What Should Trump Do With Free Trade?

Written by

Water is necessary for your health. Drink too much water and you can get hyponatremia. It is very serious, and can be fatal. Too much of anything is not good. President-elect Trump believes one of the major problems in the economy is too much free trade.

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