Category: "prices - ppi, cpi, etc"

The Confusing State Of Retail Sales

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Warren Buffett is confused about retail trade stating "retailing is tough for me to figure out". Not only is the retail model changing - but consumer spending and inflation trends are changing also.

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The USA Has an Almost Healed and Improving Economy????

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Most realize something is broken in the current economy - and it is aggravating to listen to the litany of "information" pumped out in the media. The Fed continues to talk up the economy and continue to dangle the prospect of rate increases which suggests an almost healed and improving economy. Seems everything is getting rosy, and the only reason the economy is not doing better is because of the politicians as they are either spending too much or too little - or there is too much regulation.

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Here’s Proof That Core CPI Is Really +3%, Not +1.8%

August 25th, 2015
in prices - ppi, cpi, etc

by Lee Adler, Wall Street Examiner

The BLS reported today that Owners Equivalent Rent, a fictitious input to the CPI which, with the similarly formulated lesser item rent of primary residence accounts for nearly 32% of the total weight in the index, rose by 3% between July 2014 and July 2015, including a seasonally adjusted, fictitious +0.3% month to month in June.

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Fed Is Not Just Behind The Curve, It’s Driving The Bus Over The Cliff

August 9th, 2015
in prices - ppi, cpi, etc

by Lee Adler, Wall Street Examiner

So the Fed didn’t raise rates again. And the timing of the rate increase will be data dependent. Ho hum.

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The Phillips Curve: Timelessly Misleading

Article of the Week from Fixing the Economists

by Philip Pilkington

Tom Palley has written a blog post politely requesting that Paul Krugman might give a bit of recognition to non-mainstream contributors to economics. It would be nice to see this happen but I doubt that it will (although Palley is getting a bit of blog play out of it which is nice). Anyway, I note that in the post he links to a discussion he and Krugman had regarding the Phillips Curve. Before I get to the arguments put forward here let us examine the Phillips Curve in some detail.

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