Tags: advisor perspectives dshort.com

Structural Changes in U.S. Employment

July 23rd, 2015
in employment

At last year's Jackson Hole Symposium, Fed Chair Janet Yellen delivered an extended analysis of "Labor Market Dynamics and Monetary Policy". Her speech essentially reviewed the ongoing debate over the mix of cyclical versus structural factors in employment since the Great Recession. more »

More Americans Work Longer

March 4th, 2015
in demographics, employment

In my earlier update on demographic trends in employment, I included a chart illustrating the growth (or shrinkage) in six age cohorts since the turn of the century. In this commentary we'll zoom in on the age 50 and older Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR). more »

Japan's Amazing 25-Year Post-Bubble Drama

October 19th, 2014
in history, japan

by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com It's been quite a while since my last look at secular Japanese market and bond data. We're now just a few months from the 25th anniversary of the Nikkei 225's bubble top in 1989. The latest cyclical rally… more »

Inside the World of Multiple Jobholders: Two Decades of Trends

October 13th, 2014
in employment

by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com What are the long-term trends for multiple jobholders in the US? The Bureau of Labor Statistics has two decades of historical data to enlighten us on that topic, courtesy of Table A-16 in the monthly… more »

Proof of a Structural Change in the U.S. Workforce

August 27th, 2014
in employment

Yesterday Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer gave a speech entitled The Great Recession: Moving Ahead. A key topic is the question of long-term structural changes to the economy -- whether we're experiencing economic weakness with deeper roots than the cyclical more »

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