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Is The M&A Bubble About To POP?

April 27th, 2015
in uncategorized

by John Slater

(Originally Published on Axial Forum)

The answer may surprise you, but first a bit of background. There have been signs of financial bubbles throughout global markets: US price/earnings multiples are relatively high, the Chinese equity market is on a tear notwithstanding signs of an economic slowdown, M&A valuations remain near record levels and so on. But, that’s not the whole story.

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The Natural Rate of Interest Does Not Exist

Fixing the Economists Article of the Fortnight

by Philip Pilkington, Fixing The Economists

I just want to make a quick note on the multiplier and the theory of liquidity preference that is not generally recognised. When the full implications of this argument are recognised and integrated with marginalist theories of savings and investment (including the Austrian theory) these theories basically fall apart unless some very restrictive assumptions are put in place.

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U.S. Oil Glut: How High Can It Go?

April 26th, 2015
in aa syndication

by EconMatters, EconMatters.com

Oil Glut Build in PAD3 Gulf Coast

As expected, EIA today reported for week ending April 17, U.S. crude-oil inventories gained 5.3 million barrels to 489 million barrels, which is still the highest in at least 80 years, according to the EIA.

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Austerity Vs. Deficit Spending - Is There No Science in Economics?

Written by

I am appalled what passes for economic "fact" or "proven" economic theory. Scientific methods require:

  1. changing only one factor (variable) and keep all other conditions the same (carefully controlled conditions);
  2. gathering detailed empirical data; and,
  3. being able to replicate.

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Demographic Structure and the Macroeconomy

April 24th, 2015
in demographics, macroeconomics

by Yunus Aksoy, Henrique Basso, Tobias Grasl and Ron Smith

Appeared previously at VoxEU, 08 April 2015

The disappointing recovery after the crisis has sparked renewed interest in the medium-run outlook of advanced economies. Lower population growth and its impact on labour supply gained widespread prominence.

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