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24 September 2016 Initial Unemployment Claims: Rolling Averages Continue to Improve.

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims

The market expectations for weekly initial unemployment claims (from Bloomberg / Econoday) were 256,000 to 265,000 (consensus 260,000), and the Department of Labor reported 254,000 new claims. The more important (because of the volatility in the weekly reported claims and seasonality errors in adjusting the data) 4 week moving average moved from 258,250 (reported last week as 258,500) to 256,000. The rolling averages generally have been equal to or under 300,000 since August 2014.

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What We Read Today 28 September 2016

Econintersect: Every day our editors collect the most interesting things they find from around the internet and present a summary 'reading list' which will include very brief summaries (and sometimes longer ones) of why each item has gotten our attention. Suggestions from readers for 'reading list' items are gratefully reviewed, although sometimes space limits the number included.

This feature is published every day late afternoon New York time. For early morning review of headlines see "The Early Bird" published every day in the early am at GEI News (membership not required for access to "The Early Bird".).

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Every day most of this column ("What We Read Today") is available only to GEI members.

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 more features, analysis, studies, and news published in the last week

The Terrorist Networks At Our Fingertips

from STRATFOR

-- this post authored by Scott Stewart

Two teenage girls were arrested in Nice, France, on Sept. 25 for conspiring to conduct terrorist attacks on behalf of the Islamic State. During the interrogation, the young women admitted to authorities that they had been in contact with Rashid Kassim, a 29-year-old French jihadist affiliated with the Islamic State who has been active on Telegram, an instant messaging service.

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Infographic Of The Day: Dubai Interesting Statistics And Facts

Did you know international visitors account for 62% of total arrival in Dubai and city of Dubai has the highest 4.8 visitors per resident in world followed by Amsterdam with only 2.6 visitors per resident.

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Video of the Day:

1 minute. 34 seconds. In the U.S., that’s all it takes to register to vote. A single registration lasts a lifetime of elections. We’ve made it easy for you here: http://g.co/elections/134


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Current Weather Outlook

Written by

At this point we have a storm that appears to be headed towards Baja California today (Monday) and back towards Salt Lake City on Thursday. It made me think of the Camino Real or Royal Road of which there were at least a half dozen in Mexico. At any this very meridional trough for so early in the Fall may well dominate CONUS weather this week. Elsewhere, Typhoon Megi may pass North of the Philippines on the way to Taiwan and then possibly Hong Kong.  Next week we may have an interesting situation in the Gulf of Mexico. Lots to talk about. .

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 more investing, markets, precious metals & forex

29Sep2016 Pre-Market Commentary: US Markets Expected To Open Lower, GDP Higher, Unemployment Lower, US Dollar Higher, Crude Prices Steady And Higher



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The Federal Reserve Note

from Money Metals Exchange

-- this post authored by Clint Siegner

Some say the U.S. dollar may die 5 days hence. The Chinese renminbi will kill it. Much is being made of plans by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to add the renminbi to its basket of strategic reserve currencies called Special Drawing Rights (SDR). The IMF will make the change on October 1. While the implications for the Federal Reserve Note, currently the U.S. dollar, as the world's primary reserve currency may be profound over time and the importance of this even should not be overlooked, the impact is unlikely to happen overnight.

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 USA economy at a glance (boxed items are updates in last 7 days)

Third Estimate 2Q2016 GDP Revised Upward. Corporate Profits Down.

Written by Doug Short and Steven Hansen

The third estimate of second quarter 2016 Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was revised upward to 1.4 %. This improvement was mainly due to upward revision to the inventory adjustment (see table below).

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