Survey And Market Measures Of Inflation Expectations


from the Cleveland Fed

-- this post authored by Sara Millington and Mehmet Pasaogullari

Inflation has been rising this year, but the overall increase appears to be small. The year-over-year change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is 0.2 percent (as of August 2015), while the core CPI (which removes volatile food and energy prices) has risen between 1.6 and 1.8 percent throughout the year. In this article, we review several measures of inflation expectations, which reflect economic agents' perceptions about the future course of inflation.

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What We Read Today 03 October 2015

Econintersect: Every day our editors collect the most interesting things they find from around the internet and present a summary 'reading list' which will include very brief summaries (and sometimes longer ones) of why each item has gotten our attention. Suggestions from readers for 'reading list' items are gratefully reviewed, although sometimes space limits the number included.

This feature is published every day late afternoon New York time. For early morning review of headlines see "The Early Bird" published every day in the early am at GEI News (membership not required for access to "The Early Bird".).


Every day most of this column ("What We Read Today") is available only to GEI members.

To become a GEI Member simply subscribe to our FREE daily newsletter.

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 more features, analysis, studies, and news published in the last week

Exchange Rates And Trade Flows: Disconnected?

from the International Monetary Fund

Recent exchange rate movements have been unusually large, triggering a debate regarding their likely effects on trade. Historical experience in advanced and emerging market and developing economies suggests that exchange rate movements typically have sizable effects on export and import volumes. A 10 percent real effective depreciation in an economy's currency is associated with a rise in real net exports of, on average, 1.5 percent of GDP, with substantial cross-country variation around this average.

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Infographic Of The Day: Top European Beaches To Visit

So you need an escape to soak up the excursions of lethal days while walking bare footed on sandy beaches.

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Video of the Day:

Want to climb Half Dome in Yosemite National Park? Hundreds of people attempt this iconic excursion most every summer day - and some don't make it. Here is a video guide on what to expect. My inside look into hiking Half Dome, and advice on what you need to know before you go.

video of day picture

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Trefis: Highlights Week Ending 02 October 2015

 more opinion

13 Banks That Rule The World

by Lee Adler, Wall Street Examiner

With Janet Yellen virtually proclaiming that she is central banker to the world it's time to roll out this post again, last retitled and reposted on January 28, 2015.


Written by Trefis

Below is a summary of the activity at Trefis during the past week that Trefis thought Econintersect readers would find interesting.

Trefis is a financial community structured around trends, forecasts and insights related to some of the most popular stocks in the US. It provides the unique feature of allowing the user to model future valuation based upon projected changes in components of each business. It also provides communication capabilities among members, including consensus of member analysis compared to Trefis staff analysis and blogging opportunities for members.

Click on graphic to go Trefis interactive page.

Click 'Read more...' to see our clickable table of contents with the most covered companies (more than 1 article) of the week identified.


 USA economy at a glance (boxed items are updates in last 7 days)

25 September 2015: ECRI's WLI Growth Index Improves Insignificantly But Remains In Contraction

ECRI's WLI Growth Index which forecasts economic growth six months forward - again improved insignificantly but remains in negative territory. This index had spent 28 weeks in negative territory then 15 weeks in positive territory - and now is in its seventh week in negative territory.ECRI released their inflation index this week and is discussed below.

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